La Liga·Regular Season - 24·
La Liga·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
27%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.262.54safe0.31–2.240.41–2.120.72–4.36safer0.06–2.500.18–2.350.24–4.84
Shots on target
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.144.468.60safe2.27–6.002.72–6.204.99–12.20safer1.78–6.492.25–6.674.04–13.16
Total shots
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5214.5526.06safe7.59–15.4410.99–18.1118.58–33.55safer6.50–16.5310.03–19.0716.53–35.60
Shots in box
29%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction7.489.2116.69safe4.54–10.426.53–11.8911.06–22.31safer3.71–11.255.79–12.639.50–23.88
Blocked shots
43%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.503.466.95safe1.62–5.381.80–5.113.42–10.49safer1.07–5.921.31–5.602.38–11.53
Corners
43%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.904.989.88safe2.69–7.122.98–6.985.67–14.10safer2.11–7.692.45–7.514.56–15.20
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.7544.74safe48.96–62.5437.95–51.52safer47.29–64.2136.28–53.20
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction485361846safe418–552295–428713–980safer400–570277–445677–1016
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction67.6567.51safe63.62–71.6863.19–71.84safer62.33–72.9761.88–73.15
Fouls
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4714.9028.38safe10.64–16.3111.96–17.8522.59–34.16safer9.88–17.0711.21–18.5921.09–35.66
Offsides
23%
19%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.463.99safe0.37–2.691.37–3.551.74–6.24safer0.07–2.991.08–3.841.15–6.83
Yellow cards
35%
18%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.372.735.10safe1.32–3.421.60–3.862.93–7.28safer1.06–3.691.31–4.152.37–7.84
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.130.24safe0.00–0.280.00–0.310.00–0.59safer0.00–0.430.00–0.450.00–0.87
GK saves
48%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.172.755.92safe1.74–4.611.19–4.302.93–8.91safer1.35–5.000.77–4.732.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.31–2.24 0.06–2.50 | 1.26 0.41–2.12 0.18–2.35 | 2.54 0.72–4.36 0.24–4.84 | 37% 27% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.14 2.27–6.00 1.78–6.49 | 4.46 2.72–6.20 2.25–6.67 | 8.60 4.99–12.20 4.04–13.16 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total shots | 11.52 7.59–15.44 6.50–16.53 | 14.55 10.99–18.11 10.03–19.07 | 26.06 18.58–33.55 16.53–35.60 | 24% 69% |
| Shots in box | 7.48 4.54–10.42 3.71–11.25 | 9.21 6.53–11.89 5.79–12.63 | 16.69 11.06–22.31 9.50–23.88 | 29% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.50 1.62–5.38 1.07–5.92 | 3.46 1.80–5.11 1.31–5.60 | 6.95 3.42–10.49 2.38–11.53 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 4.90 2.69–7.12 2.11–7.69 | 4.98 2.98–6.98 2.45–7.51 | 9.88 5.67–14.10 4.56–15.20 | 43% 45% |
| Possession % | 55.75 48.96–62.54 47.29–64.21 | 44.74 37.95–51.52 36.28–53.20 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 485 418–552 400–570 | 361 295–428 277–445 | 846 713–980 677–1016 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.65 63.62–71.68 62.33–72.97 | 67.51 63.19–71.84 61.88–73.15 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 13.47 10.64–16.31 9.88–17.07 | 14.90 11.96–17.85 11.21–18.59 | 28.38 22.59–34.16 21.09–35.66 | 36% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 2.46 1.37–3.55 1.08–3.84 | 3.99 1.74–6.24 1.15–6.83 | 23% 19% 58% |
| Yellow cards | 2.37 1.32–3.42 1.06–3.69 | 2.73 1.60–3.86 1.31–4.15 | 5.10 2.93–7.28 2.37–7.84 | 35% 18% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.17 1.74–4.61 1.35–5.00 | 2.75 1.19–4.30 0.77–4.73 | 5.92 2.93–8.91 2.11–9.72 | 48% 17% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.