La Liga·Regular Season - 24·
La Liga·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
20%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.111.033.15safe1.15–3.080.18–1.891.32–4.97safer0.89–3.330.00–2.110.84–5.45
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.483.9810.46safe4.62–8.352.24–5.726.86–14.07safer4.13–8.831.77–6.195.90–15.02
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction17.2911.7329.02safe13.37–21.218.17–15.2921.53–36.51safer12.27–22.317.21–16.2519.48–38.56
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction11.397.4018.80safe8.45–14.344.72–10.0813.17–24.42safer7.62–15.163.99–10.8211.61–25.99
Blocked shots
61%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.323.067.38safe2.43–6.201.41–4.723.85–10.92safer1.89–6.740.92–5.212.81–11.95
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.324.0610.38safe4.11–8.532.06–6.066.17–14.59safer3.53–9.111.53–6.595.06–15.70
Possession %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction53.4547.15safe46.66–60.2440.36–53.93safer44.99–61.9138.69–55.60
Passes
76%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5444601004safe477–611394–527871–1138safer459–629376–544835–1174
Pass accuracy %
42%
52%
homeawayprediction72.7473.71safe68.71–76.7669.39–78.04safer67.41–78.0668.08–79.34
Fouls
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9613.1723.13safe7.12–12.7910.23–16.1217.35–28.91safer6.36–13.559.48–16.8715.84–30.41
Offsides
70%
14%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction3.251.574.81safe2.09–4.410.47–2.662.56–7.07safer1.79–4.710.18–2.951.97–7.66
Yellow cards
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.223.65safe0.38–2.481.09–3.351.47–5.83safer0.11–2.740.80–3.640.92–6.39
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
23%
13%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.874.367.23safe1.43–4.302.81–5.924.24–10.22safer1.04–4.692.38–6.343.43–11.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.11 1.15–3.08 0.89–3.33 | 1.03 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.11 | 3.15 1.32–4.97 0.84–5.45 | 62% 20% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.48 4.62–8.35 4.13–8.83 | 3.98 2.24–5.72 1.77–6.19 | 10.46 6.86–14.07 5.90–15.02 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 17.29 13.37–21.21 12.27–22.31 | 11.73 8.17–15.29 7.21–16.25 | 29.02 21.53–36.51 19.48–38.56 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 11.39 8.45–14.34 7.62–15.16 | 7.40 4.72–10.08 3.99–10.82 | 18.80 13.17–24.42 11.61–25.99 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.32 2.43–6.20 1.89–6.74 | 3.06 1.41–4.72 0.92–5.21 | 7.38 3.85–10.92 2.81–11.95 | 61% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 6.32 4.11–8.53 3.53–9.11 | 4.06 2.06–6.06 1.53–6.59 | 10.38 6.17–14.59 5.06–15.70 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 53.45 46.66–60.24 44.99–61.91 | 47.15 40.36–53.93 38.69–55.60 | — | 62% 33% |
| Passes | 544 477–611 459–629 | 460 394–527 376–544 | 1004 871–1138 835–1174 | 76% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.74 68.71–76.76 67.41–78.06 | 73.71 69.39–78.04 68.08–79.34 | — | 42% 52% |
| Fouls | 9.96 7.12–12.79 6.36–13.55 | 13.17 10.23–16.12 9.48–16.87 | 23.13 17.35–28.91 15.84–30.41 | 22% 71% |
| Offsides | 3.25 2.09–4.41 1.79–4.71 | 1.57 0.47–2.66 0.18–2.95 | 4.81 2.56–7.07 1.97–7.66 | 70% 14% 15% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.11–2.74 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 3.65 1.47–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.69 | 4.36 2.81–5.92 2.38–6.34 | 7.23 4.24–10.22 3.43–11.04 | 23% 13% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.