Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
28%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.042.34safe0.34–2.270.18–1.890.52–4.17safer0.09–2.520.00–2.120.04–4.65
Shots on target
58%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.493.407.89safe2.62–6.351.66–5.144.28–11.49safer2.13–6.841.19–5.613.33–12.45
Total shots
77%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2110.1324.33safe10.28–18.136.57–13.6916.85–31.82safer9.19–19.225.61–14.6514.80–33.87
Shots in box
67%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction8.546.3114.85safe5.60–11.483.63–8.999.22–20.47safer4.77–12.312.89–9.737.66–22.04
Blocked shots
59%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.722.656.37safe1.84–5.611.00–4.302.84–9.91safer1.30–6.150.51–4.801.80–10.95
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.103.878.97safe2.89–7.311.87–5.874.75–13.18safer2.31–7.891.33–6.403.64–14.29
Possession %
54%
42%
homeawayprediction51.2548.71safe44.46–58.0441.93–55.50safer42.79–59.7140.26–57.17
Passes
59%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction407380787safe340–474313–446653–920safer321–492296–464617–956
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction66.3966.95safe62.36–70.4262.62–71.27safer61.07–71.7161.31–72.58
Fouls
27%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1615.9729.12safe10.32–15.9913.02–18.9123.34–34.90safer9.56–16.7512.27–19.6621.84–36.41
Offsides
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.943.46safe0.36–2.680.85–3.041.21–5.72safer0.06–2.980.56–3.320.62–6.31
Yellow cards
33%
19%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.082.494.57safe1.03–3.131.36–3.622.39–6.74safer0.76–3.391.07–3.911.83–7.30
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
27%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.293.195.47safe0.85–3.721.63–4.742.48–8.47safer0.46–4.111.20–5.171.67–9.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.34–2.27 0.09–2.52 | 1.04 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.34 0.52–4.17 0.04–4.65 | 43% 28% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.49 2.62–6.35 2.13–6.84 | 3.40 1.66–5.14 1.19–5.61 | 7.89 4.28–11.49 3.33–12.45 | 58% 13% 28% |
| Total shots | 14.21 10.28–18.13 9.19–19.22 | 10.13 6.57–13.69 5.61–14.65 | 24.33 16.85–31.82 14.80–33.87 | 77% 18% |
| Shots in box | 8.54 5.60–11.48 4.77–12.31 | 6.31 3.63–8.99 2.89–9.73 | 14.85 9.22–20.47 7.66–22.04 | 67% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 3.72 1.84–5.61 1.30–6.15 | 2.65 1.00–4.30 0.51–4.80 | 6.37 2.84–9.91 1.80–10.95 | 59% 15% 26% |
| Corners | 5.10 2.89–7.31 2.31–7.89 | 3.87 1.87–5.87 1.33–6.40 | 8.97 4.75–13.18 3.64–14.29 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 51.25 44.46–58.04 42.79–59.71 | 48.71 41.93–55.50 40.26–57.17 | — | 54% 42% |
| Passes | 407 340–474 321–492 | 380 313–446 296–464 | 787 653–920 617–956 | 59% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.39 62.36–70.42 61.07–71.71 | 66.95 62.62–71.27 61.31–72.58 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 13.16 10.32–15.99 9.56–16.75 | 15.97 13.02–18.91 12.27–19.66 | 29.12 23.34–34.90 21.84–36.41 | 27% 67% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.94 0.85–3.04 0.56–3.32 | 3.46 1.21–5.72 0.62–6.31 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 2.08 1.03–3.13 0.76–3.39 | 2.49 1.36–3.62 1.07–3.91 | 4.57 2.39–6.74 1.83–7.30 | 33% 19% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.29 0.85–3.72 0.46–4.11 | 3.19 1.63–4.74 1.20–5.17 | 5.47 2.48–8.47 1.67–9.28 | 27% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.