La Liga·Regular Season - 24·
La Liga·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
19%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.152.363.52safe0.19–2.121.51–3.221.69–5.34safer0.00–2.371.28–3.451.22–5.82
Shots on target
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction4.106.2210.32safe2.23–5.964.48–7.976.71–13.92safer1.74–6.454.01–8.435.76–14.88
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7017.7828.49safe6.78–14.6314.22–21.3521.00–35.97safer5.69–15.7213.26–22.3118.95–38.03
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.7912.4019.19safe3.85–9.739.72–15.0813.57–24.81safer3.02–10.568.98–15.8212.00–26.38
Blocked shots
13%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.625.187.80safe0.74–4.503.53–6.834.26–11.33safer0.19–5.043.03–7.323.23–12.37
Corners
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.736.3910.11safe1.52–5.944.39–8.395.90–14.33safer0.94–6.523.85–8.924.79–15.44
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction32.9166.69safe26.12–39.7059.91–73.48safer24.45–41.3758.24–75.15
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction3706731043safe303–437607–740910–1177safer285–455589–757874–1213
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction67.2383.92safe63.20–71.2679.60–88.24safer61.91–72.5578.29–89.55
Fouls
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4010.2722.67safe9.56–15.237.33–13.2216.89–28.45safer8.80–15.996.58–13.9715.38–29.96
Offsides
79%
homeawaytotalprediction4.071.675.74safe2.91–5.230.57–2.763.48–7.99safer2.61–5.530.28–3.052.90–8.58
Yellow cards
45%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.693.66safe0.92–3.020.56–2.821.48–5.84safer0.66–3.290.27–3.110.92–6.39
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.282.496.77safe2.84–5.720.94–4.053.78–9.77safer2.46–6.100.51–4.482.97–10.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.19–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 2.36 1.51–3.22 1.28–3.45 | 3.52 1.69–5.34 1.22–5.82 | 17% 19% 64% |
| Shots on target | 4.10 2.23–5.96 1.74–6.45 | 6.22 4.48–7.97 4.01–8.43 | 10.32 6.71–13.92 5.76–14.88 | 20% 69% |
| Total shots | 10.70 6.78–14.63 5.69–15.72 | 17.78 14.22–21.35 13.26–22.31 | 28.49 21.00–35.97 18.95–38.03 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 6.79 3.85–9.73 3.02–10.56 | 12.40 9.72–15.08 8.98–15.82 | 19.19 13.57–24.81 12.00–26.38 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 2.62 0.74–4.50 0.19–5.04 | 5.18 3.53–6.83 3.03–7.32 | 7.80 4.26–11.33 3.23–12.37 | 13% 77% |
| Corners | 3.73 1.52–5.94 0.94–6.52 | 6.39 4.39–8.39 3.85–8.92 | 10.11 5.90–14.33 4.79–15.44 | 16% 75% |
| Possession % | 32.91 26.12–39.70 24.45–41.37 | 66.69 59.91–73.48 58.24–75.15 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 370 303–437 285–455 | 673 607–740 589–757 | 1043 910–1177 874–1213 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.23 63.20–71.26 61.91–72.55 | 83.92 79.60–88.24 78.29–89.55 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 12.40 9.56–15.23 8.80–15.99 | 10.27 7.33–13.22 6.58–13.97 | 22.67 16.89–28.45 15.38–29.96 | 63% 29% |
| Offsides | 4.07 2.91–5.23 2.61–5.53 | 1.67 0.57–2.76 0.28–3.05 | 5.74 3.48–7.99 2.90–8.58 | 79% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.66–3.29 | 1.69 0.56–2.82 0.27–3.11 | 3.66 1.48–5.84 0.92–6.39 | 45% 22% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 4.28 2.84–5.72 2.46–6.10 | 2.49 0.94–4.05 0.51–4.48 | 6.77 3.78–9.77 2.97–10.58 | 69% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+