La Liga·Regular Season - 25·
La Liga·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
25%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.610.982.58safe0.64–2.570.12–1.830.76–4.40safer0.39–2.820.00–2.060.28–4.88
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.993.608.59safe3.13–6.851.86–5.344.98–12.19safer2.64–7.341.39–5.814.03–13.15
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7610.0824.84safe10.84–18.696.52–13.6417.35–32.33safer9.75–19.785.56–14.6015.30–34.38
Shots in box
73%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction9.456.5115.95safe6.50–12.393.83–9.1910.33–21.58safer5.68–13.223.09–9.938.76–23.14
Blocked shots
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.342.146.48safe2.46–6.220.49–3.792.94–10.01safer1.91–6.770.00–4.281.91–11.05
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.953.619.56safe3.73–8.161.61–5.615.34–13.77safer3.16–8.731.08–6.144.24–14.88
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction55.9343.86safe49.14–62.7237.07–50.64safer47.47–64.3935.40–52.31
Passes
87%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction546413959safe479–614346–479826–1093safer461–632329–497790–1129
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction73.8171.15safe69.78–77.8466.82–75.47safer68.49–79.1365.51–76.78
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7512.4523.19safe7.91–13.589.50–15.3917.41–28.98safer7.15–14.348.76–16.1415.91–30.48
Offsides
15%
15%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction1.453.054.50safe0.29–2.611.96–4.142.25–6.76safer0.00–2.921.67–4.431.66–7.35
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.732.133.86safe0.68–2.781.00–3.261.69–6.04safer0.42–3.050.71–3.551.13–6.60
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.423.425.84safe0.98–3.861.86–4.982.85–8.83safer0.60–4.241.44–5.402.03–9.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.64–2.57 0.39–2.82 | 0.98 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.58 0.76–4.40 0.28–4.88 | 52% 25% 23% |
| Shots on target | 4.99 3.13–6.85 2.64–7.34 | 3.60 1.86–5.34 1.39–5.81 | 8.59 4.98–12.19 4.03–13.15 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 14.76 10.84–18.69 9.75–19.78 | 10.08 6.52–13.64 5.56–14.60 | 24.84 17.35–32.33 15.30–34.38 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 9.45 6.50–12.39 5.68–13.22 | 6.51 3.83–9.19 3.09–9.93 | 15.95 10.33–21.58 8.76–23.14 | 73% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.34 2.46–6.22 1.91–6.77 | 2.14 0.49–3.79 0.00–4.28 | 6.48 2.94–10.01 1.91–11.05 | 75% 14% |
| Corners | 5.95 3.73–8.16 3.16–8.73 | 3.61 1.61–5.61 1.08–6.14 | 9.56 5.34–13.77 4.24–14.88 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 55.93 49.14–62.72 47.47–64.39 | 43.86 37.07–50.64 35.40–52.31 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 546 479–614 461–632 | 413 346–479 329–497 | 959 826–1093 790–1129 | 87% 13% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.81 69.78–77.84 68.49–79.13 | 71.15 66.82–75.47 65.51–76.78 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 10.75 7.91–13.58 7.15–14.34 | 12.45 9.50–15.39 8.76–16.14 | 23.19 17.41–28.98 15.91–30.48 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.92 | 3.05 1.96–4.14 1.67–4.43 | 4.50 2.25–6.76 1.66–7.35 | 15% 15% 70% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.86 1.69–6.04 1.13–6.60 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.98–3.86 0.60–4.24 | 3.42 1.86–4.98 1.44–5.40 | 5.84 2.85–8.83 2.03–9.64 | 26% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+