La Liga·Regular Season - 25·
La Liga·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.280.883.16safe1.31–3.250.02–1.731.34–4.98safer1.06–3.500.00–1.960.86–5.46
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.652.809.45safe4.78–8.511.06–4.555.84–13.05safer4.29–9.000.59–5.014.89–14.01
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.069.0626.12safe13.13–20.985.49–12.6218.63–33.60safer12.04–22.074.54–13.5816.58–35.65
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction12.755.2217.97safe9.81–15.692.54–7.9012.34–23.59safer8.98–16.521.80–8.6310.78–25.16
Blocked shots
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.482.256.73safe2.60–6.360.60–3.913.20–10.27safer2.06–6.910.11–4.402.16–11.30
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.923.1410.06safe4.71–9.141.14–5.145.85–14.27safer4.14–9.710.60–5.674.74–15.38
Possession %
74%
23%
homeawayprediction56.2444.59safe49.45–63.0337.81–51.38safer47.78–64.7036.13–53.05
Passes
83%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction540423963safe473–607357–490829–1097safer454–625339–507794–1132
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction74.3571.63safe70.32–78.3867.30–75.95safer69.03–79.6765.99–77.26
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3911.6724.06safe9.55–15.238.73–14.6218.28–29.85safer8.80–15.997.98–15.3716.78–31.35
Offsides
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.571.404.97safe2.41–4.730.30–2.492.71–7.22safer2.11–5.030.02–2.782.13–7.81
Yellow cards
38%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.972.094.06safe0.92–3.020.96–3.221.88–6.24safer0.66–3.290.67–3.511.32–6.80
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction1.994.326.30safe0.55–3.422.76–5.873.31–9.30safer0.16–3.812.34–6.302.50–10.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.28 1.31–3.25 1.06–3.50 | 0.88 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.96 | 3.16 1.34–4.98 0.86–5.46 | 69% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.65 4.78–8.51 4.29–9.00 | 2.80 1.06–4.55 0.59–5.01 | 9.45 5.84–13.05 4.89–14.01 | 87% |
| Total shots | 17.06 13.13–20.98 12.04–22.07 | 9.06 5.49–12.62 4.54–13.58 | 26.12 18.63–33.60 16.58–35.65 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 12.75 9.81–15.69 8.98–16.52 | 5.22 2.54–7.90 1.80–8.63 | 17.97 12.34–23.59 10.78–25.16 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 4.48 2.60–6.36 2.06–6.91 | 2.25 0.60–3.91 0.11–4.40 | 6.73 3.20–10.27 2.16–11.30 | 75% 14% |
| Corners | 6.92 4.71–9.14 4.14–9.71 | 3.14 1.14–5.14 0.60–5.67 | 10.06 5.85–14.27 4.74–15.38 | 85% |
| Possession % | 56.24 49.45–63.03 47.78–64.70 | 44.59 37.81–51.38 36.13–53.05 | — | 74% 23% |
| Passes | 540 473–607 454–625 | 423 357–490 339–507 | 963 829–1097 794–1132 | 83% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.35 70.32–78.38 69.03–79.67 | 71.63 67.30–75.95 65.99–77.26 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 12.39 9.55–15.23 8.80–15.99 | 11.67 8.73–14.62 7.98–15.37 | 24.06 18.28–29.85 16.78–31.35 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 3.57 2.41–4.73 2.11–5.03 | 1.40 0.30–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 4.97 2.71–7.22 2.13–7.81 | 78% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.66–3.29 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 4.06 1.88–6.24 1.32–6.80 | 38% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 1.99 0.55–3.42 0.16–3.81 | 4.32 2.76–5.87 2.34–6.30 | 6.30 3.31–9.30 2.50–10.11 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.