Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
30%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.110.992.10safe0.14–2.070.14–1.840.27–3.92safer0.00–2.330.00–2.070.00–4.40
Shots on target
51%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.023.477.49safe2.16–5.881.73–5.213.88–11.09safer1.67–6.371.26–5.682.93–12.05
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6210.8124.43safe9.70–17.557.25–14.3716.94–31.92safer8.61–18.646.29–15.3314.89–33.97
Shots in box
57%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction8.096.9415.02safe5.14–11.034.25–9.629.40–20.64safer4.31–11.863.52–10.357.83–22.21
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.623.236.85safe1.73–5.501.58–4.883.31–10.38safer1.19–6.041.09–5.382.28–11.42
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.064.399.45safe2.85–7.282.39–6.395.24–13.67safer2.28–7.851.86–6.924.13–14.78
Possession %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction51.1548.29safe44.36–57.9441.51–55.08safer42.69–59.6139.84–56.75
Passes
62%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction407370776safe340–474303–436643–910safer321–492286–453607–946
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction63.7367.08safe59.70–67.7662.76–71.41safer58.41–69.0561.45–72.72
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4714.5127.98safe10.63–16.3011.57–17.4622.20–33.76safer9.87–17.0610.82–18.2120.69–35.27
Offsides
45%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.693.66safe0.80–3.120.60–2.791.40–5.91safer0.50–3.430.31–3.070.81–6.50
Yellow cards
40%
18%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.462.504.96safe1.41–3.511.38–3.632.78–7.14safer1.14–3.771.08–3.922.23–7.70
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.140.27safe0.00–0.290.00–0.330.00–0.62safer0.00–0.440.00–0.460.00–0.90
GK saves
38%
18%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.582.755.32safe1.14–4.011.19–4.302.33–8.32safer0.75–4.400.77–4.731.52–9.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.11 0.14–2.07 0.00–2.33 | 0.99 0.14–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.10 0.27–3.92 0.00–4.40 | 38% 30% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.02 2.16–5.88 1.67–6.37 | 3.47 1.73–5.21 1.26–5.68 | 7.49 3.88–11.09 2.93–12.05 | 51% 15% 35% |
| Total shots | 13.62 9.70–17.55 8.61–18.64 | 10.81 7.25–14.37 6.29–15.33 | 24.43 16.94–31.92 14.89–33.97 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 8.09 5.14–11.03 4.31–11.86 | 6.94 4.25–9.62 3.52–10.35 | 15.02 9.40–20.64 7.83–22.21 | 57% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 3.62 1.73–5.50 1.19–6.04 | 3.23 1.58–4.88 1.09–5.38 | 6.85 3.31–10.38 2.28–11.42 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.06 2.85–7.28 2.28–7.85 | 4.39 2.39–6.39 1.86–6.92 | 9.45 5.24–13.67 4.13–14.78 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 51.15 44.36–57.94 42.69–59.61 | 48.29 41.51–55.08 39.84–56.75 | — | 54% 41% |
| Passes | 407 340–474 321–492 | 370 303–436 286–453 | 776 643–910 607–946 | 62% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.73 59.70–67.76 58.41–69.05 | 67.08 62.76–71.41 61.45–72.72 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 13.47 10.63–16.30 9.87–17.06 | 14.51 11.57–17.46 10.82–18.21 | 27.98 22.20–33.76 20.69–35.27 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.96 0.80–3.12 0.50–3.43 | 1.69 0.60–2.79 0.31–3.07 | 3.66 1.40–5.91 0.81–6.50 | 45% 22% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.46 1.41–3.51 1.14–3.77 | 2.50 1.38–3.63 1.08–3.92 | 4.96 2.78–7.14 2.23–7.70 | 40% 18% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 77% |
| GK saves | 2.58 1.14–4.01 0.75–4.40 | 2.75 1.19–4.30 0.77–4.73 | 5.32 2.33–8.32 1.52–9.13 | 38% 18% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.