La Liga·Regular Season - 26·
La Liga·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
13%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.732.743.47safe0.00–1.701.89–3.601.65–5.29safer0.00–1.951.66–3.831.17–5.77
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction2.886.579.45safe1.02–4.754.83–8.315.85–13.06safer0.53–5.244.36–8.784.89–14.01
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6916.8426.53safe5.76–13.6113.28–20.4019.04–34.02safer4.67–14.7112.32–21.3616.99–36.07
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction5.3111.5616.87safe2.37–8.258.88–14.2411.25–22.49safer1.54–9.088.14–14.989.68–24.06
Blocked shots
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.424.797.22safe0.54–4.313.14–6.443.68–10.75safer0.00–4.852.65–6.942.64–11.79
Corners
18%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.625.869.48safe1.40–5.833.86–7.865.27–13.69safer0.83–6.403.33–8.404.16–14.80
Possession %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction41.3958.39safe34.60–48.1851.60–65.17safer32.93–49.8549.93–66.84
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction409569979safe342–476503–636845–1112safer324–495485–653809–1148
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction64.7977.96safe60.76–68.8273.64–82.28safer59.47–70.1172.33–83.59
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2910.8523.15safe9.46–15.137.91–13.8017.36–28.93safer8.70–15.897.16–14.5415.86–30.43
Offsides
25%
19%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.524.18safe0.50–2.821.42–3.611.92–6.43safer0.20–3.121.14–3.901.33–7.02
Yellow cards
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.693.75safe1.01–3.110.56–2.821.57–5.93safer0.74–3.380.27–3.111.02–6.49
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.080.20safe0.00–0.280.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.400.00–0.83
GK saves
67%
13%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.092.436.51safe2.65–5.520.87–3.983.52–9.51safer2.26–5.910.45–4.412.71–10.32
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.73 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.95 | 2.74 1.89–3.60 1.66–3.83 | 3.47 1.65–5.29 1.17–5.77 | 13% 79% |
| Shots on target | 2.88 1.02–4.75 0.53–5.24 | 6.57 4.83–8.31 4.36–8.78 | 9.45 5.85–13.06 4.89–14.01 | 85% |
| Total shots | 9.69 5.76–13.61 4.67–14.71 | 16.84 13.28–20.40 12.32–21.36 | 26.53 19.04–34.02 16.99–36.07 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 5.31 2.37–8.25 1.54–9.08 | 11.56 8.88–14.24 8.14–14.98 | 16.87 11.25–22.49 9.68–24.06 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 2.42 0.54–4.31 0.00–4.85 | 4.79 3.14–6.44 2.65–6.94 | 7.22 3.68–10.75 2.64–11.79 | 14% 76% |
| Corners | 3.62 1.40–5.83 0.83–6.40 | 5.86 3.86–7.86 3.33–8.40 | 9.48 5.27–13.69 4.16–14.80 | 18% 72% |
| Possession % | 41.39 34.60–48.18 32.93–49.85 | 58.39 51.60–65.17 49.93–66.84 | — | 14% 83% |
| Passes | 409 342–476 324–495 | 569 503–636 485–653 | 979 845–1112 809–1148 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.79 60.76–68.82 59.47–70.11 | 77.96 73.64–82.28 72.33–83.59 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 12.29 9.46–15.13 8.70–15.89 | 10.85 7.91–13.80 7.16–14.54 | 23.15 17.36–28.93 15.86–30.43 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 2.52 1.42–3.61 1.14–3.90 | 4.18 1.92–6.43 1.33–7.02 | 25% 19% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.11 0.74–3.38 | 1.69 0.56–2.82 0.27–3.11 | 3.75 1.57–5.93 1.02–6.49 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 4.09 2.65–5.52 2.26–5.91 | 2.43 0.87–3.98 0.45–4.41 | 6.51 3.52–9.51 2.71–10.32 | 67% 13% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+