La Liga·Regular Season - 27·
La Liga·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
23%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.790.932.71safe0.82–2.760.07–1.780.89–4.54safer0.57–3.010.00–2.010.41–5.02
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.063.059.11safe4.20–7.931.31–4.795.51–12.72safer3.71–8.420.84–5.264.55–13.67
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction17.068.7225.78safe13.13–20.985.16–12.2918.29–33.27safer12.04–22.074.20–13.2516.24–35.32
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction11.225.8817.11safe8.28–14.173.20–8.5611.48–22.73safer7.45–15.002.46–9.309.92–24.30
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction4.861.996.85safe2.98–6.740.34–3.653.32–10.39safer2.44–7.290.00–4.142.28–11.42
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.763.2610.02safe4.55–8.971.26–5.265.81–14.24safer3.97–9.550.73–5.804.70–15.34
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction58.4041.11safe51.61–65.1934.32–47.89safer49.94–66.8632.65–49.57
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction589404992safe521–656337–470859–1126safer503–674320–488823–1162
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction76.7371.18safe72.70–80.7666.86–75.51safer71.40–82.0565.55–76.82
Fouls
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5011.6322.14safe7.66–13.348.69–14.5816.35–27.92safer6.91–14.107.94–15.3314.85–29.42
Offsides
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.613.22safe0.46–2.780.51–2.700.97–5.48safer0.16–3.080.22–2.990.38–6.07
Yellow cards
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.133.63safe0.45–2.551.00–3.261.46–5.81safer0.19–2.820.71–3.550.90–6.37
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction1.983.875.86safe0.55–3.422.32–5.432.87–8.85safer0.16–3.811.89–5.852.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.79 0.82–2.76 0.57–3.01 | 0.93 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.01 | 2.71 0.89–4.54 0.41–5.02 | 58% 23% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.06 4.20–7.93 3.71–8.42 | 3.05 1.31–4.79 0.84–5.26 | 9.11 5.51–12.72 4.55–13.67 | 80% |
| Total shots | 17.06 13.13–20.98 12.04–22.07 | 8.72 5.16–12.29 4.20–13.25 | 25.78 18.29–33.27 16.24–35.32 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.22 8.28–14.17 7.45–15.00 | 5.88 3.20–8.56 2.46–9.30 | 17.11 11.48–22.73 9.92–24.30 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 4.86 2.98–6.74 2.44–7.29 | 1.99 0.34–3.65 0.00–4.14 | 6.85 3.32–10.39 2.28–11.42 | 82% |
| Corners | 6.76 4.55–8.97 3.97–9.55 | 3.26 1.26–5.26 0.73–5.80 | 10.02 5.81–14.24 4.70–15.34 | 83% |
| Possession % | 58.40 51.61–65.19 49.94–66.86 | 41.11 34.32–47.89 32.65–49.57 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 589 521–656 503–674 | 404 337–470 320–488 | 992 859–1126 823–1162 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.73 72.70–80.76 71.40–82.05 | 71.18 66.86–75.51 65.55–76.82 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 10.50 7.66–13.34 6.91–14.10 | 11.63 8.69–14.58 7.94–15.33 | 22.14 16.35–27.92 14.85–29.42 | 36% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.61 0.51–2.70 0.22–2.99 | 3.22 0.97–5.48 0.38–6.07 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.19–2.82 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.63 1.46–5.81 0.90–6.37 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.98 0.55–3.42 0.16–3.81 | 3.87 2.32–5.43 1.89–5.85 | 5.86 2.87–8.85 2.05–9.66 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+