Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
24%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.720.992.71safe0.75–2.690.14–1.850.89–4.54safer0.50–2.940.00–2.070.41–5.02
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.093.508.59safe3.23–6.951.76–5.244.99–12.20safer2.74–7.441.29–5.714.03–13.15
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9110.9325.84safe10.98–18.837.37–14.4918.35–33.32safer9.89–19.926.41–15.4516.30–35.38
Shots in box
69%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction8.876.4115.28safe5.93–11.813.73–9.099.66–20.91safer5.10–12.642.99–9.838.09–22.47
Blocked shots
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.862.526.38safe1.97–5.740.87–4.182.84–9.91safer1.43–6.280.38–4.671.81–10.95
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.614.359.96safe3.40–7.832.35–6.355.75–14.18safer2.83–8.401.82–6.884.64–15.28
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.2142.48safe50.42–64.0035.70–49.27safer48.75–65.6734.03–50.94
Passes
84%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction530409939safe463–597342–475805–1073safer445–615325–493770–1108
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction69.4267.47safe65.39–73.4563.15–71.79safer64.10–74.7461.84–73.10
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3515.4528.79safe10.51–16.1812.50–18.3923.01–34.58safer9.75–16.9411.75–19.1421.51–36.08
Offsides
23%
16%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.913.034.94safe0.75–3.071.94–4.122.68–7.19safer0.44–3.371.65–4.412.09–7.78
Yellow cards
26%
17%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.022.924.93safe0.97–3.071.79–4.042.75–7.11safer0.70–3.331.49–4.342.20–7.67
Red cards
76%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.190.30safe0.00–0.260.01–0.380.00–0.64safer0.00–0.410.00–0.510.00–0.93
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.473.556.02safe1.04–3.911.99–5.113.03–9.02safer0.65–4.301.57–5.532.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.72 0.75–2.69 0.50–2.94 | 0.99 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.07 | 2.71 0.89–4.54 0.41–5.02 | 55% 24% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.09 3.23–6.95 2.74–7.44 | 3.50 1.76–5.24 1.29–5.71 | 8.59 4.99–12.20 4.03–13.15 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 14.91 10.98–18.83 9.89–19.92 | 10.93 7.37–14.49 6.41–15.45 | 25.84 18.35–33.32 16.30–35.38 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 8.87 5.93–11.81 5.10–12.64 | 6.41 3.73–9.09 2.99–9.83 | 15.28 9.66–20.91 8.09–22.47 | 69% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 3.86 1.97–5.74 1.43–6.28 | 2.52 0.87–4.18 0.38–4.67 | 6.38 2.84–9.91 1.81–10.95 | 63% 14% 23% |
| Corners | 5.61 3.40–7.83 2.83–8.40 | 4.35 2.35–6.35 1.82–6.88 | 9.96 5.75–14.18 4.64–15.28 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 57.21 50.42–64.00 48.75–65.67 | 42.48 35.70–49.27 34.03–50.94 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 530 463–597 445–615 | 409 342–475 325–493 | 939 805–1073 770–1108 | 84% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.42 65.39–73.45 64.10–74.74 | 67.47 63.15–71.79 61.84–73.10 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 13.35 10.51–16.18 9.75–16.94 | 15.45 12.50–18.39 11.75–19.14 | 28.79 23.01–34.58 21.51–36.08 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.07 0.44–3.37 | 3.03 1.94–4.12 1.65–4.41 | 4.94 2.68–7.19 2.09–7.78 | 23% 16% 61% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.70–3.33 | 2.92 1.79–4.04 1.49–4.34 | 4.93 2.75–7.11 2.20–7.67 | 26% 17% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.01–0.38 0.00–0.51 | 0.30 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.93 | 76% 16% |
| GK saves | 2.47 1.04–3.91 0.65–4.30 | 3.55 1.99–5.11 1.57–5.53 | 6.02 3.03–9.02 2.22–9.83 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+