Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
27%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.232.56safe0.36–2.300.38–2.090.74–4.39safer0.11–2.550.15–2.320.26–4.87
Shots on target
45%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.354.238.58safe2.49–6.212.49–5.984.98–12.19safer2.00–6.702.02–6.444.02–13.14
Total shots
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2213.2526.47safe9.30–17.159.69–16.8118.99–33.96safer8.21–18.248.73–17.7716.94–36.01
Shots in box
44%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction8.748.8317.57safe5.80–11.686.15–11.5111.95–23.19safer4.97–12.515.41–12.2510.38–24.76
Blocked shots
42%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.803.877.67safe1.92–5.682.22–5.524.14–11.21safer1.38–6.231.73–6.023.10–12.24
Corners
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.444.8010.24safe3.22–7.652.80–6.806.02–14.45safer2.65–8.222.26–7.334.92–15.56
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.3246.56safe47.53–61.1139.77–53.34safer45.86–62.7838.10–55.01
Passes
73%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction493418911safe426–560352–485778–1045safer407–578334–502742–1081
Pass accuracy %
34%
62%
homeawayprediction68.9871.77safe64.95–73.0167.45–76.10safer63.66–74.3066.14–77.41
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6211.4023.02safe8.78–14.468.45–14.3417.24–28.80safer8.03–15.217.71–15.0915.73–30.31
Offsides
50%
20%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.321.824.14safe1.16–3.480.72–2.911.89–6.39safer0.86–3.780.44–3.201.30–6.98
Yellow cards
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.753.67safe0.87–2.960.62–2.881.49–5.85safer0.60–3.230.33–3.170.93–6.40
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.963.216.17safe1.52–4.391.65–4.773.17–9.16safer1.13–4.781.23–5.192.36–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.23 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 2.56 0.74–4.39 0.26–4.87 | 39% 27% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.35 2.49–6.21 2.00–6.70 | 4.23 2.49–5.98 2.02–6.44 | 8.58 4.98–12.19 4.02–13.14 | 45% 14% 42% |
| Total shots | 13.22 9.30–17.15 8.21–18.24 | 13.25 9.69–16.81 8.73–17.77 | 26.47 18.99–33.96 16.94–36.01 | 46% 46% |
| Shots in box | 8.74 5.80–11.68 4.97–12.51 | 8.83 6.15–11.51 5.41–12.25 | 17.57 11.95–23.19 10.38–24.76 | 44% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.80 1.92–5.68 1.38–6.23 | 3.87 2.22–5.52 1.73–6.02 | 7.67 4.14–11.21 3.10–12.24 | 42% 15% 44% |
| Corners | 5.44 3.22–7.65 2.65–8.22 | 4.80 2.80–6.80 2.26–7.33 | 10.24 6.02–14.45 4.92–15.56 | 52% 36% |
| Possession % | 54.32 47.53–61.11 45.86–62.78 | 46.56 39.77–53.34 38.10–55.01 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 493 426–560 407–578 | 418 352–485 334–502 | 911 778–1045 742–1081 | 73% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.98 64.95–73.01 63.66–74.30 | 71.77 67.45–76.10 66.14–77.41 | — | 34% 62% |
| Fouls | 11.62 8.78–14.46 8.03–15.21 | 11.40 8.45–14.34 7.71–15.09 | 23.02 17.24–28.80 15.73–30.31 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 2.32 1.16–3.48 0.86–3.78 | 1.82 0.72–2.91 0.44–3.20 | 4.14 1.89–6.39 1.30–6.98 | 50% 20% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.96 0.60–3.23 | 1.75 0.62–2.88 0.33–3.17 | 3.67 1.49–5.85 0.93–6.40 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.52–4.39 1.13–4.78 | 3.21 1.65–4.77 1.23–5.19 | 6.17 3.17–9.16 2.36–9.97 | 38% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.