La Liga·Regular Season - 28·
La Liga·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
90%
homeawaytotalprediction3.750.664.41safe2.78–4.720.00–1.522.59–6.23safer2.53–4.970.00–1.752.11–6.71
Shots on target
97%
homeawaytotalprediction8.922.3311.26safe7.06–10.790.59–4.077.65–14.86safer6.57–11.280.12–4.546.69–15.82
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction22.926.7529.66safe18.99–26.843.19–10.3122.18–37.15safer17.90–27.932.23–11.2720.13–39.20
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction15.174.3219.49safe12.23–18.111.64–7.0013.87–25.12safer11.40–18.940.90–7.7412.30–26.68
Blocked shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction5.561.356.92safe3.68–7.450.00–3.013.38–10.45safer3.14–7.990.00–3.502.35–11.49
Corners
97%
homeawaytotalprediction8.862.1811.03safe6.64–11.070.18–4.186.82–15.25safer6.07–11.650.00–4.715.71–16.35
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction72.4926.74safe65.70–79.2819.96–33.53safer64.03–80.9518.29–35.20
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7953111105safe728–862244–377972–1239safer709–880227–394936–1275
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction84.3568.59safe80.32–88.3864.27–72.92safer79.03–89.6862.96–74.23
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0810.9119.99safe6.24–11.927.97–13.8614.21–25.78safer5.49–12.677.22–14.6112.71–27.28
Offsides
26%
17%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.022.954.97safe0.86–3.181.86–4.052.72–7.22safer0.56–3.481.57–4.332.13–7.81
Yellow cards
20%
24%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction0.891.672.57safe0.00–1.940.55–2.800.39–4.75safer0.00–2.210.25–3.090.00–5.30
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
91%
homeawaytotalprediction1.595.497.08safe0.16–3.033.93–7.054.09–10.08safer0.00–3.423.51–7.473.28–10.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.75 2.78–4.72 2.53–4.97 | 0.66 0.00–1.52 0.00–1.75 | 4.41 2.59–6.23 2.11–6.71 | 90% |
| Shots on target | 8.92 7.06–10.79 6.57–11.28 | 2.33 0.59–4.07 0.12–4.54 | 11.26 7.65–14.86 6.69–15.82 | 97% |
| Total shots | 22.92 18.99–26.84 17.90–27.93 | 6.75 3.19–10.31 2.23–11.27 | 29.66 22.18–37.15 20.13–39.20 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 15.17 12.23–18.11 11.40–18.94 | 4.32 1.64–7.00 0.90–7.74 | 19.49 13.87–25.12 12.30–26.68 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.56 3.68–7.45 3.14–7.99 | 1.35 0.00–3.01 0.00–3.50 | 6.92 3.38–10.45 2.35–11.49 | 93% |
| Corners | 8.86 6.64–11.07 6.07–11.65 | 2.18 0.18–4.18 0.00–4.71 | 11.03 6.82–15.25 5.71–16.35 | 97% |
| Possession % | 72.49 65.70–79.28 64.03–80.95 | 26.74 19.96–33.53 18.29–35.20 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 795 728–862 709–880 | 311 244–377 227–394 | 1105 972–1239 936–1275 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.35 80.32–88.38 79.03–89.68 | 68.59 64.27–72.92 62.96–74.23 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 9.08 6.24–11.92 5.49–12.67 | 10.91 7.97–13.86 7.22–14.61 | 19.99 14.21–25.78 12.71–27.28 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.48 | 2.95 1.86–4.05 1.57–4.33 | 4.97 2.72–7.22 2.13–7.81 | 26% 17% 57% |
| Yellow cards | 0.89 0.00–1.94 0.00–2.21 | 1.67 0.55–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 2.57 0.39–4.75 0.00–5.30 | 20% 24% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 1.59 0.16–3.03 0.00–3.42 | 5.49 3.93–7.05 3.51–7.47 | 7.08 4.09–10.08 3.28–10.89 | 91% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+