La Liga·Regular Season - 28·
La Liga·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
18%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.360.973.33safe1.39–3.330.11–1.821.51–5.15safer1.14–3.580.00–2.051.03–5.63
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction7.003.5510.55safe5.14–8.861.81–5.296.95–14.16safer4.65–9.351.34–5.765.99–15.11
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction18.819.9328.75safe14.89–22.746.37–13.4921.26–36.23safer13.80–23.835.41–14.4519.21–38.28
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction12.046.9118.95safe9.09–14.984.23–9.5913.33–24.57safer8.27–15.813.50–10.3311.76–26.14
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.312.207.52safe3.43–7.190.55–3.863.98–11.05safer2.89–7.740.06–4.352.95–12.09
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.933.8810.81safe4.72–9.141.88–5.886.60–15.02safer4.14–9.721.35–6.415.49–16.13
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.6937.48safe55.90–69.4830.70–44.27safer54.23–71.1529.03–45.94
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction625359984safe558–693293–425851–1118safer540–711275–443815–1154
Pass accuracy %
82%
14%
homeawayprediction77.1769.43safe73.14–81.2065.11–73.76safer71.85–82.4963.80–75.06
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6312.1022.72safe7.79–13.479.15–15.0416.94–28.51safer7.03–14.228.40–15.7915.44–30.01
Offsides
34%
19%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.022.364.39safe0.86–3.181.27–3.462.13–6.64safer0.56–3.490.98–3.741.54–7.23
Yellow cards
22%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.392.303.69safe0.34–2.441.17–3.431.52–5.87safer0.07–2.710.88–3.720.96–6.43
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.364.476.83safe0.92–3.802.92–6.033.84–9.82safer0.54–4.182.49–6.453.03–10.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.36 1.39–3.33 1.14–3.58 | 0.97 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 3.33 1.51–5.15 1.03–5.63 | 68% 18% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.00 5.14–8.86 4.65–9.35 | 3.55 1.81–5.29 1.34–5.76 | 10.55 6.95–14.16 5.99–15.11 | 82% |
| Total shots | 18.81 14.89–22.74 13.80–23.83 | 9.93 6.37–13.49 5.41–14.45 | 28.75 21.26–36.23 19.21–38.28 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 12.04 9.09–14.98 8.27–15.81 | 6.91 4.23–9.59 3.50–10.33 | 18.95 13.33–24.57 11.76–26.14 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 5.31 3.43–7.19 2.89–7.74 | 2.20 0.55–3.86 0.06–4.35 | 7.52 3.98–11.05 2.95–12.09 | 83% |
| Corners | 6.93 4.72–9.14 4.14–9.72 | 3.88 1.88–5.88 1.35–6.41 | 10.81 6.60–15.02 5.49–16.13 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 62.69 55.90–69.48 54.23–71.15 | 37.48 30.70–44.27 29.03–45.94 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 625 558–693 540–711 | 359 293–425 275–443 | 984 851–1118 815–1154 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.17 73.14–81.20 71.85–82.49 | 69.43 65.11–73.76 63.80–75.06 | — | 82% 14% |
| Fouls | 10.63 7.79–13.47 7.03–14.22 | 12.10 9.15–15.04 8.40–15.79 | 22.72 16.94–28.51 15.44–30.01 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.49 | 2.36 1.27–3.46 0.98–3.74 | 4.39 2.13–6.64 1.54–7.23 | 34% 19% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.34–2.44 0.07–2.71 | 2.30 1.17–3.43 0.88–3.72 | 3.69 1.52–5.87 0.96–6.43 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.92–3.80 0.54–4.18 | 4.47 2.92–6.03 2.49–6.45 | 6.83 3.84–9.82 3.03–10.64 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.