La Liga·Regular Season - 28·
La Liga·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
27%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.362.51safe0.17–2.110.51–2.220.68–4.33safer0.00–2.360.28–2.450.20–4.81
Shots on target
41%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.274.478.74safe2.41–6.132.73–6.215.14–12.35safer1.92–6.622.26–6.684.18–13.30
Total shots
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5512.9727.52safe10.62–18.479.40–16.5320.03–35.00safer9.53–19.578.45–17.4917.98–37.05
Shots in box
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction9.118.6317.75safe6.17–12.065.95–11.3212.13–23.37safer5.34–12.895.22–12.0510.56–24.94
Blocked shots
33%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.714.448.15safe1.83–5.592.79–6.094.61–11.68safer1.28–6.132.29–6.583.58–12.72
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.975.3510.31safe2.75–7.183.35–7.356.10–14.53safer2.18–7.752.82–7.884.99–15.64
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.5357.71safe35.74–49.3250.92–64.49safer34.07–50.9949.25–66.16
Passes
18%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction361472833safe294–428406–538699–967safer276–447388–556664–1002
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction60.9171.36safe56.88–64.9467.03–75.68safer55.59–66.2365.72–76.99
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9612.9524.91safe9.12–14.8010.00–15.8919.12–30.69safer8.37–15.559.25–16.6417.62–32.19
Offsides
46%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.503.36safe0.70–3.020.41–2.601.11–5.61safer0.40–3.320.12–2.880.52–6.20
Yellow cards
47%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.291.934.23safe1.24–3.340.80–3.062.05–6.40safer0.98–3.610.51–3.351.49–6.96
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
41%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.993.046.03safe1.55–4.421.48–4.603.03–9.02safer1.16–4.811.06–5.022.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.17–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 1.36 0.51–2.22 0.28–2.45 | 2.51 0.68–4.33 0.20–4.81 | 31% 27% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.27 2.41–6.13 1.92–6.62 | 4.47 2.73–6.21 2.26–6.68 | 8.74 5.14–12.35 4.18–13.30 | 41% 14% 46% |
| Total shots | 14.55 10.62–18.47 9.53–19.57 | 12.97 9.40–16.53 8.45–17.49 | 27.52 20.03–35.00 17.98–37.05 | 58% 35% |
| Shots in box | 9.11 6.17–12.06 5.34–12.89 | 8.63 5.95–11.32 5.22–12.05 | 17.75 12.13–23.37 10.56–24.94 | 50% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 3.71 1.83–5.59 1.28–6.13 | 4.44 2.79–6.09 2.29–6.58 | 8.15 4.61–11.68 3.58–12.72 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Corners | 4.97 2.75–7.18 2.18–7.75 | 5.35 3.35–7.35 2.82–7.88 | 10.31 6.10–14.53 4.99–15.64 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 42.53 35.74–49.32 34.07–50.99 | 57.71 50.92–64.49 49.25–66.16 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 361 294–428 276–447 | 472 406–538 388–556 | 833 699–967 664–1002 | 18% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.91 56.88–64.94 55.59–66.23 | 71.36 67.03–75.68 65.72–76.99 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 11.96 9.12–14.80 8.37–15.55 | 12.95 10.00–15.89 9.25–16.64 | 24.91 19.12–30.69 17.62–32.19 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.50 0.41–2.60 0.12–2.88 | 3.36 1.11–5.61 0.52–6.20 | 46% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 2.29 1.24–3.34 0.98–3.61 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 4.23 2.05–6.40 1.49–6.96 | 47% 20% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.99 1.55–4.42 1.16–4.81 | 3.04 1.48–4.60 1.06–5.02 | 6.03 3.03–9.02 2.22–9.83 | 41% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+