La Liga·Regular Season - 28·
La Liga·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.500.873.37safe1.53–3.470.02–1.731.55–5.19safer1.28–3.720.00–1.951.07–5.67
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.313.4210.73safe5.45–9.171.68–5.167.13–14.34safer4.96–9.661.21–5.636.17–15.29
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.909.7628.66safe14.98–22.836.20–13.3321.18–36.15safer13.89–23.925.24–14.2819.13–38.20
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction12.886.3519.23safe9.93–15.823.67–9.0313.61–24.85safer9.10–16.652.93–9.7712.04–26.42
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.102.477.57safe3.22–6.980.81–4.124.03–11.10safer2.67–7.520.32–4.612.99–12.14
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.963.5410.49safe4.74–9.171.54–5.546.28–14.70safer4.17–9.741.00–6.075.17–15.81
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.6239.19safe54.83–68.4132.41–45.98safer53.16–70.0830.74–47.65
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction578362940safe511–645296–429807–1074safer492–663278–446771–1110
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction74.4968.59safe70.46–78.5164.27–72.92safer69.16–79.8162.96–74.22
Fouls
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0514.6124.66safe7.21–12.8811.67–17.5618.88–30.44safer6.45–13.6410.92–18.3117.37–31.95
Offsides
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.743.41safe0.51–2.830.65–2.831.15–5.66safer0.20–3.130.36–3.120.56–6.25
Yellow cards
24%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.313.77safe0.41–2.511.18–3.441.59–5.95safer0.15–2.780.89–3.731.04–6.51
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.310.00–0.52safer0.00–0.360.00–0.440.00–0.80
GK saves
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.464.757.21safe1.03–3.903.19–6.304.22–10.20safer0.64–4.292.76–6.733.40–11.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.50 1.53–3.47 1.28–3.72 | 0.87 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.95 | 3.37 1.55–5.19 1.07–5.67 | 73% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.31 5.45–9.17 4.96–9.66 | 3.42 1.68–5.16 1.21–5.63 | 10.73 7.13–14.34 6.17–15.29 | 85% |
| Total shots | 18.90 14.98–22.83 13.89–23.92 | 9.76 6.20–13.33 5.24–14.28 | 28.66 21.18–36.15 19.13–38.20 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.88 9.93–15.82 9.10–16.65 | 6.35 3.67–9.03 2.93–9.77 | 19.23 13.61–24.85 12.04–26.42 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 5.10 3.22–6.98 2.67–7.52 | 2.47 0.81–4.12 0.32–4.61 | 7.57 4.03–11.10 2.99–12.14 | 78% |
| Corners | 6.96 4.74–9.17 4.17–9.74 | 3.54 1.54–5.54 1.00–6.07 | 10.49 6.28–14.70 5.17–15.81 | 82% |
| Possession % | 61.62 54.83–68.41 53.16–70.08 | 39.19 32.41–45.98 30.74–47.65 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 578 511–645 492–663 | 362 296–429 278–446 | 940 807–1074 771–1110 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.49 70.46–78.51 69.16–79.81 | 68.59 64.27–72.92 62.96–74.22 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 10.05 7.21–12.88 6.45–13.64 | 14.61 11.67–17.56 10.92–18.31 | 24.66 18.88–30.44 17.37–31.95 | 15% 79% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.20–3.13 | 1.74 0.65–2.83 0.36–3.12 | 3.41 1.15–5.66 0.56–6.25 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.51 0.15–2.78 | 2.31 1.18–3.44 0.89–3.73 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.04–6.51 | 24% 20% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.46 1.03–3.90 0.64–4.29 | 4.75 3.19–6.30 2.76–6.73 | 7.21 4.22–10.20 3.40–11.01 | 15% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.