La Liga·Regular Season - 29·
La Liga·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.240.682.92safe1.28–3.210.00–1.531.10–4.75safer1.02–3.460.00–1.760.62–5.23
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction6.692.349.03safe4.83–8.560.60–4.085.43–12.64safer4.34–9.050.13–4.554.47–13.60
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction18.718.0026.72safe14.79–22.644.44–11.5719.23–34.20safer13.70–23.733.48–12.5317.18–36.26
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction12.374.9217.29safe9.43–15.312.24–7.6011.67–22.91safer8.60–16.141.50–8.3410.10–24.48
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.301.917.20safe3.41–7.180.25–3.563.67–10.74safer2.87–7.720.00–4.052.63–11.77
Corners
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.592.7610.35safe5.38–9.800.76–4.766.14–14.56safer4.80–10.380.23–5.295.03–15.67
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.2732.91safe59.48–73.0626.13–39.70safer57.81–74.7324.46–41.37
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction627285912safe559–694219–352778–1045safer541–712201–369742–1081
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction78.3965.35safe74.36–82.4261.03–69.67safer73.07–83.7159.72–70.98
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6711.8823.55safe8.83–14.518.94–14.8317.77–29.33safer8.07–15.268.19–15.5716.26–30.84
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.353.13safe0.62–2.940.26–2.450.88–5.39safer0.32–3.240.00–2.730.29–5.98
Yellow cards
23%
21%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.322.163.48safe0.27–2.371.03–3.291.30–5.66safer0.01–2.640.74–3.580.75–6.22
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction1.804.276.07safe0.37–3.242.71–5.823.08–9.06safer0.00–3.632.29–6.252.27–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.24 1.28–3.21 1.02–3.46 | 0.68 0.00–1.53 0.00–1.76 | 2.92 1.10–4.75 0.62–5.23 | 73% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.69 4.83–8.56 4.34–9.05 | 2.34 0.60–4.08 0.13–4.55 | 9.03 5.43–12.64 4.47–13.60 | 91% |
| Total shots | 18.71 14.79–22.64 13.70–23.73 | 8.00 4.44–11.57 3.48–12.53 | 26.72 19.23–34.20 17.18–36.26 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 12.37 9.43–15.31 8.60–16.14 | 4.92 2.24–7.60 1.50–8.34 | 17.29 11.67–22.91 10.10–24.48 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.30 3.41–7.18 2.87–7.72 | 1.91 0.25–3.56 0.00–4.05 | 7.20 3.67–10.74 2.63–11.77 | 86% |
| Corners | 7.59 5.38–9.80 4.80–10.38 | 2.76 0.76–4.76 0.23–5.29 | 10.35 6.14–14.56 5.03–15.67 | 92% |
| Possession % | 66.27 59.48–73.06 57.81–74.73 | 32.91 26.13–39.70 24.46–41.37 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 627 559–694 541–712 | 285 219–352 201–369 | 912 778–1045 742–1081 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.39 74.36–82.42 73.07–83.71 | 65.35 61.03–69.67 59.72–70.98 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 11.67 8.83–14.51 8.07–15.26 | 11.88 8.94–14.83 8.19–15.57 | 23.55 17.77–29.33 16.26–30.84 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.35 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.73 | 3.13 0.88–5.39 0.29–5.98 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.32 0.27–2.37 0.01–2.64 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.75–6.22 | 23% 21% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.80 0.37–3.24 0.00–3.63 | 4.27 2.71–5.82 2.29–6.25 | 6.07 3.08–9.06 2.27–9.87 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.