La Liga·Regular Season - 29·
La Liga·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
20%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.052.113.17safe0.09–2.021.26–2.971.34–4.99safer0.00–2.271.03–3.200.86–5.47
Shots on target
20%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction4.006.1410.14safe2.13–5.864.40–7.886.53–13.74safer1.64–6.353.93–8.355.58–14.70
Total shots
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5515.3927.94safe8.63–16.4711.82–18.9520.45–35.42safer7.53–17.5710.86–19.9118.40–37.47
Shots in box
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction7.6011.1018.70safe4.66–10.548.42–13.7813.07–24.32safer3.83–11.377.68–14.5211.51–25.89
Blocked shots
30%
13%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.774.818.58safe1.89–5.653.15–6.465.04–12.11safer1.35–6.202.66–6.954.01–13.15
Corners
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.325.279.60safe2.11–6.543.27–7.275.38–13.81safer1.54–7.112.74–7.804.28–14.92
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.6955.98safe37.90–51.4849.20–62.77safer36.23–53.1547.52–64.44
Passes
22%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction4545471000safe386–521480–613867–1134safer368–539463–630831–1170
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction69.0976.32safe65.06–73.1272.00–80.64safer63.77–74.4270.69–81.95
Fouls
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9510.6623.60safe10.11–15.787.71–13.6017.82–29.39safer9.35–16.546.96–14.3516.32–30.89
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.463.27safe0.65–2.970.37–2.551.02–5.52safer0.35–3.270.08–2.840.43–6.11
Yellow cards
49%
20%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.331.894.22safe1.28–3.380.76–3.012.04–6.40safer1.02–3.650.47–3.311.48–6.96
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.080.20safe0.00–0.280.00–0.270.00–0.55safer0.00–0.430.00–0.400.00–0.83
GK saves
59%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.882.756.63safe2.44–5.311.20–4.313.64–9.62safer2.05–5.700.77–4.732.83–10.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.05 0.09–2.02 0.00–2.27 | 2.11 1.26–2.97 1.03–3.20 | 3.17 1.34–4.99 0.86–5.47 | 18% 20% 62% |
| Shots on target | 4.00 2.13–5.86 1.64–6.35 | 6.14 4.40–7.88 3.93–8.35 | 10.14 6.53–13.74 5.58–14.70 | 20% 70% |
| Total shots | 12.55 8.63–16.47 7.53–17.57 | 15.39 11.82–18.95 10.86–19.91 | 27.94 20.45–35.42 18.40–37.47 | 26% 67% |
| Shots in box | 7.60 4.66–10.54 3.83–11.37 | 11.10 8.42–13.78 7.68–14.52 | 18.70 13.07–24.32 11.51–25.89 | 18% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 3.77 1.89–5.65 1.35–6.20 | 4.81 3.15–6.46 2.66–6.95 | 8.58 5.04–12.11 4.01–13.15 | 30% 13% 57% |
| Corners | 4.32 2.11–6.54 1.54–7.11 | 5.27 3.27–7.27 2.74–7.80 | 9.60 5.38–13.81 4.28–14.92 | 32% 56% |
| Possession % | 44.69 37.90–51.48 36.23–53.15 | 55.98 49.20–62.77 47.52–64.44 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 454 386–521 368–539 | 547 480–613 463–630 | 1000 867–1134 831–1170 | 22% 78% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.09 65.06–73.12 63.77–74.42 | 76.32 72.00–80.64 70.69–81.95 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 12.95 10.11–15.78 9.35–16.54 | 10.66 7.71–13.60 6.96–14.35 | 23.60 17.82–29.39 16.32–30.89 | 64% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.46 0.37–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 3.27 1.02–5.52 0.43–6.11 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 2.33 1.28–3.38 1.02–3.65 | 1.89 0.76–3.01 0.47–3.31 | 4.22 2.04–6.40 1.48–6.96 | 49% 20% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.88 2.44–5.31 2.05–5.70 | 2.75 1.20–4.31 0.77–4.73 | 6.63 3.64–9.62 2.83–10.44 | 59% 14% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.