Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
27%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.212.46safe0.28–2.220.35–2.060.63–4.28safer0.03–2.470.13–2.290.15–4.76
Shots on target
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.113.817.93safe2.25–5.982.07–5.564.32–11.53safer1.76–6.471.60–6.023.37–12.49
Total shots
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7410.4624.20safe9.81–17.666.90–14.0316.72–31.69safer8.72–18.755.94–14.9914.67–33.74
Shots in box
58%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction8.437.0915.51safe5.48–11.374.41–9.779.89–21.14safer4.65–12.203.67–10.508.32–22.70
Blocked shots
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.912.676.57safe2.03–5.791.01–4.323.04–10.11safer1.48–6.330.52–4.812.00–11.14
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.204.089.28safe2.98–7.412.08–6.085.07–13.49safer2.41–7.991.55–6.613.96–14.60
Possession %
60%
36%
homeawayprediction52.3047.19safe45.51–59.0940.41–53.98safer43.84–60.7638.74–55.65
Passes
72%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction462393854safe394–529326–459721–988safer376–547309–477685–1024
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction70.4469.91safe66.41–74.4765.59–74.24safer65.12–75.7764.28–75.55
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0713.6226.69safe10.23–15.9010.68–16.5720.91–32.47safer9.47–16.669.93–17.3219.40–33.98
Offsides
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.412.123.53safe0.25–2.571.03–3.221.28–5.79safer0.00–2.870.74–3.500.69–6.37
Yellow cards
26%
19%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.384.03safe0.60–2.691.26–3.511.85–6.21safer0.33–2.960.96–3.801.29–6.77
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.442.905.34safe1.00–3.881.34–4.452.35–8.33safer0.62–4.260.92–4.881.53–9.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.21 0.35–2.06 0.13–2.29 | 2.46 0.63–4.28 0.15–4.76 | 37% 27% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.11 2.25–5.98 1.76–6.47 | 3.81 2.07–5.56 1.60–6.02 | 7.93 4.32–11.53 3.37–12.49 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 13.74 9.81–17.66 8.72–18.75 | 10.46 6.90–14.03 5.94–14.99 | 24.20 16.72–31.69 14.67–33.74 | 71% 22% |
| Shots in box | 8.43 5.48–11.37 4.65–12.20 | 7.09 4.41–9.77 3.67–10.50 | 15.51 9.89–21.14 8.32–22.70 | 58% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.91 2.03–5.79 1.48–6.33 | 2.67 1.01–4.32 0.52–4.81 | 6.57 3.04–10.11 2.00–11.14 | 61% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 5.20 2.98–7.41 2.41–7.99 | 4.08 2.08–6.08 1.55–6.61 | 9.28 5.07–13.49 3.96–14.60 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 52.30 45.51–59.09 43.84–60.76 | 47.19 40.41–53.98 38.74–55.65 | — | 60% 36% |
| Passes | 462 394–529 376–547 | 393 326–459 309–477 | 854 721–988 685–1024 | 72% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.44 66.41–74.47 65.12–75.77 | 69.91 65.59–74.24 64.28–75.55 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 13.07 10.23–15.90 9.47–16.66 | 13.62 10.68–16.57 9.93–17.32 | 26.69 20.91–32.47 19.40–33.98 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.87 | 2.12 1.03–3.22 0.74–3.50 | 3.53 1.28–5.79 0.69–6.37 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.60–2.69 0.33–2.96 | 2.38 1.26–3.51 0.96–3.80 | 4.03 1.85–6.21 1.29–6.77 | 26% 19% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.00–3.88 0.62–4.26 | 2.90 1.34–4.45 0.92–4.88 | 5.34 2.35–8.33 1.53–9.14 | 34% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.