La Liga·Regular Season - 29·
La Liga·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
17%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.092.523.61safe0.12–2.051.67–3.381.78–5.43safer0.00–2.301.44–3.601.30–5.91
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction3.427.1910.62safe1.56–5.295.45–8.947.01–14.22safer1.07–5.784.99–9.406.06–15.18
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9918.8428.83safe6.06–13.9115.28–22.4121.34–36.32safer4.97–15.0014.32–23.3619.29–38.37
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.6712.2418.90safe3.72–9.619.56–14.9213.28–24.53safer2.90–10.448.82–15.6511.71–26.09
Blocked shots
17%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.744.857.59safe0.86–4.623.20–6.514.06–11.13safer0.32–5.172.71–7.003.02–12.16
Corners
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction4.056.0610.10safe1.83–6.264.06–8.065.89–14.31safer1.26–6.833.52–8.594.78–15.42
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction41.5159.74safe34.72–48.3052.96–66.53safer33.05–49.9751.29–68.20
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction404582986safe337–471515–648852–1120safer319–490498–666817–1156
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction65.0477.02safe61.02–69.0772.70–81.35safer59.72–70.3771.39–82.66
Fouls
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2011.2823.48safe9.36–15.048.33–14.2217.69–29.26safer8.61–15.797.58–14.9716.19–30.76
Offsides
40%
18%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.532.585.12safe1.37–3.691.49–3.682.86–7.37safer1.07–4.001.20–3.962.27–7.96
Yellow cards
50%
20%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.261.733.99safe1.21–3.310.60–2.861.82–6.17safer0.94–3.580.31–3.151.26–6.73
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.100.23safe0.00–0.300.00–0.280.00–0.58safer0.00–0.450.00–0.410.00–0.86
GK saves
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.772.577.34safe3.34–6.211.01–4.124.35–10.33safer2.95–6.600.59–4.553.54–11.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.05 0.00–2.30 | 2.52 1.67–3.38 1.44–3.60 | 3.61 1.78–5.43 1.30–5.91 | 14% 17% 69% |
| Shots on target | 3.42 1.56–5.29 1.07–5.78 | 7.19 5.45–8.94 4.99–9.40 | 10.62 7.01–14.22 6.06–15.18 | 85% |
| Total shots | 9.99 6.06–13.91 4.97–15.00 | 18.84 15.28–22.41 14.32–23.36 | 28.83 21.34–36.32 19.29–38.37 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 6.67 3.72–9.61 2.90–10.44 | 12.24 9.56–14.92 8.82–15.65 | 18.90 13.28–24.53 11.71–26.09 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 2.74 0.86–4.62 0.32–5.17 | 4.85 3.20–6.51 2.71–7.00 | 7.59 4.06–11.13 3.02–12.16 | 17% 72% |
| Corners | 4.05 1.83–6.26 1.26–6.83 | 6.06 4.06–8.06 3.52–8.59 | 10.10 5.89–14.31 4.78–15.42 | 21% 68% |
| Possession % | 41.51 34.72–48.30 33.05–49.97 | 59.74 52.96–66.53 51.29–68.20 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 404 337–471 319–490 | 582 515–648 498–666 | 986 852–1120 817–1156 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.04 61.02–69.07 59.72–70.37 | 77.02 72.70–81.35 71.39–82.66 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 12.20 9.36–15.04 8.61–15.79 | 11.28 8.33–14.22 7.58–14.97 | 23.48 17.69–29.26 16.19–30.76 | 53% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.53 1.37–3.69 1.07–4.00 | 2.58 1.49–3.68 1.20–3.96 | 5.12 2.86–7.37 2.27–7.96 | 40% 18% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.26 1.21–3.31 0.94–3.58 | 1.73 0.60–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 3.99 1.82–6.17 1.26–6.73 | 50% 20% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 4.77 3.34–6.21 2.95–6.60 | 2.57 1.01–4.12 0.59–4.55 | 7.34 4.35–10.33 3.54–11.15 | 74% 15% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.