La Liga·Regular Season - 29·
La Liga·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
13%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.942.903.84safe0.00–1.912.04–3.752.02–5.67safer0.00–2.161.82–3.981.54–6.15
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction3.566.9510.51safe1.69–5.425.21–8.706.90–14.11safer1.20–5.914.75–9.165.95–15.07
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6018.9528.55safe5.68–13.5315.39–22.5121.06–36.04safer4.59–14.6214.43–23.4719.01–38.09
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction5.8212.4918.31safe2.88–8.769.81–15.1712.69–23.94safer2.05–9.599.08–15.9111.12–25.50
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.565.387.94safe0.68–4.443.72–7.034.40–11.47safer0.14–4.993.23–7.523.37–12.51
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.336.629.94safe1.12–5.544.62–8.625.73–14.16safer0.54–6.124.08–9.154.62–15.26
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction29.2571.30safe22.46–36.0464.51–78.08safer20.79–37.7162.84–79.75
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3047141017safe236–371647–780884–1151safer218–389630–798848–1187
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction60.2983.69safe56.26–64.3279.37–88.02safer54.97–65.6178.06–89.32
Fouls
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction11.859.6621.51safe9.01–14.696.72–12.6115.73–27.30safer8.26–15.445.97–13.3614.23–28.80
Offsides
67%
14%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.682.115.79safe2.52–4.841.02–3.213.54–8.04safer2.22–5.140.73–3.492.95–8.63
Yellow cards
53%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.141.483.62safe1.09–3.190.35–2.611.44–5.79safer0.82–3.460.06–2.900.88–6.35
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.522.266.79safe3.09–5.960.71–3.823.79–9.78safer2.70–6.350.28–4.242.98–10.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.94 0.00–1.91 0.00–2.16 | 2.90 2.04–3.75 1.82–3.98 | 3.84 2.02–5.67 1.54–6.15 | 13% 77% |
| Shots on target | 3.56 1.69–5.42 1.20–5.91 | 6.95 5.21–8.70 4.75–9.16 | 10.51 6.90–14.11 5.95–15.07 | 82% |
| Total shots | 9.60 5.68–13.53 4.59–14.62 | 18.95 15.39–22.51 14.43–23.47 | 28.55 21.06–36.04 19.01–38.09 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 5.82 2.88–8.76 2.05–9.59 | 12.49 9.81–15.17 9.08–15.91 | 18.31 12.69–23.94 11.12–25.50 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 2.56 0.68–4.44 0.14–4.99 | 5.38 3.72–7.03 3.23–7.52 | 7.94 4.40–11.47 3.37–12.51 | 80% |
| Corners | 3.33 1.12–5.54 0.54–6.12 | 6.62 4.62–8.62 4.08–9.15 | 9.94 5.73–14.16 4.62–15.26 | 81% |
| Possession % | 29.25 22.46–36.04 20.79–37.71 | 71.30 64.51–78.08 62.84–79.75 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 304 236–371 218–389 | 714 647–780 630–798 | 1017 884–1151 848–1187 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.29 56.26–64.32 54.97–65.61 | 83.69 79.37–88.02 78.06–89.32 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 11.85 9.01–14.69 8.26–15.44 | 9.66 6.72–12.61 5.97–13.36 | 21.51 15.73–27.30 14.23–28.80 | 64% 28% |
| Offsides | 3.68 2.52–4.84 2.22–5.14 | 2.11 1.02–3.21 0.73–3.49 | 5.79 3.54–8.04 2.95–8.63 | 67% 14% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 2.14 1.09–3.19 0.82–3.46 | 1.48 0.35–2.61 0.06–2.90 | 3.62 1.44–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 4.52 3.09–5.96 2.70–6.35 | 2.26 0.71–3.82 0.28–4.24 | 6.79 3.79–9.78 2.98–10.59 | 75% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.