Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
27%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.370.992.36safe0.40–2.340.13–1.840.54–4.18safer0.15–2.590.00–2.070.06–4.66
Shots on target
59%
13%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.583.417.99safe2.72–6.441.67–5.154.38–11.59safer2.23–6.931.20–5.623.43–12.55
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction13.639.9023.53safe9.71–17.566.34–13.4616.04–31.02safer8.62–18.655.38–14.4213.99–33.07
Shots in box
74%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction8.695.7814.48safe5.75–11.633.10–8.468.85–20.10safer4.92–12.462.36–9.207.28–21.67
Blocked shots
53%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.482.766.24safe1.60–5.361.11–4.412.71–9.78safer1.06–5.910.61–4.901.67–10.81
Corners
58%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.013.918.92safe2.79–7.221.91–5.914.70–13.13safer2.22–7.791.38–6.443.60–14.24
Possession %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction44.0656.02safe37.27–50.8549.23–62.80safer35.60–52.5247.56–64.47
Passes
22%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction383473857safe316–450407–540723–990safer298–469389–557687–1026
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction64.2171.43safe60.18–68.2467.10–75.75safer58.89–69.5365.80–77.06
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7815.0128.80safe10.95–16.6212.07–17.9623.02–34.58safer10.19–17.3811.32–18.7121.51–36.09
Offsides
66%
15%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.251.805.05safe2.09–4.410.71–2.902.80–7.30safer1.79–4.710.42–3.182.21–7.89
Yellow cards
35%
18%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.422.755.17safe1.37–3.471.62–3.882.99–7.35safer1.11–3.741.33–4.172.44–7.91
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.150.28safe0.00–0.280.00–0.340.00–0.62safer0.00–0.430.00–0.470.00–0.91
GK saves
28%
17%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.263.065.32safe0.83–3.701.50–4.622.33–8.31safer0.44–4.091.08–5.041.52–9.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.36 0.54–4.18 0.06–4.66 | 46% 27% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.58 2.72–6.44 2.23–6.93 | 3.41 1.67–5.15 1.20–5.62 | 7.99 4.38–11.59 3.43–12.55 | 59% 13% 27% |
| Total shots | 13.63 9.71–17.56 8.62–18.65 | 9.90 6.34–13.46 5.38–14.42 | 23.53 16.04–31.02 13.99–33.07 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 8.69 5.75–11.63 4.92–12.46 | 5.78 3.10–8.46 2.36–9.20 | 14.48 8.85–20.10 7.28–21.67 | 74% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 3.48 1.60–5.36 1.06–5.91 | 2.76 1.11–4.41 0.61–4.90 | 6.24 2.71–9.78 1.67–10.81 | 53% 16% 31% |
| Corners | 5.01 2.79–7.22 2.22–7.79 | 3.91 1.91–5.91 1.38–6.44 | 8.92 4.70–13.13 3.60–14.24 | 58% 29% |
| Possession % | 44.06 37.27–50.85 35.60–52.52 | 56.02 49.23–62.80 47.56–64.47 | — | 22% 74% |
| Passes | 383 316–450 298–469 | 473 407–540 389–557 | 857 723–990 687–1026 | 22% 77% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.21 60.18–68.24 58.89–69.53 | 71.43 67.10–75.75 65.80–77.06 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 13.78 10.95–16.62 10.19–17.38 | 15.01 12.07–17.96 11.32–18.71 | 28.80 23.02–34.58 21.51–36.09 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 3.25 2.09–4.41 1.79–4.71 | 1.80 0.71–2.90 0.42–3.18 | 5.05 2.80–7.30 2.21–7.89 | 66% 15% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 2.42 1.37–3.47 1.11–3.74 | 2.75 1.62–3.88 1.33–4.17 | 5.17 2.99–7.35 2.44–7.91 | 35% 18% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.28 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.91 | 77% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.83–3.70 0.44–4.09 | 3.06 1.50–4.62 1.08–5.04 | 5.32 2.33–8.31 1.52–9.13 | 28% 17% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.