La Liga·Regular Season - 30·
La Liga·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.630.883.51safe1.66–3.600.02–1.731.68–5.33safer1.41–3.850.00–1.961.20–5.81
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.943.2010.15safe5.08–8.811.46–4.946.54–13.75safer4.59–9.300.99–5.415.59–14.71
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.108.8227.91safe15.17–23.025.25–12.3820.43–35.40safer14.08–24.114.29–13.3418.38–37.45
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction12.975.6418.60safe10.03–15.912.95–8.3212.98–24.23safer9.20–16.742.22–9.0511.41–25.79
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction4.921.776.69safe3.03–6.800.12–3.423.15–10.22safer2.49–7.340.00–3.922.12–11.26
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.523.2010.71safe5.30–9.731.20–5.206.50–14.93safer4.73–10.310.66–5.735.39–16.04
Possession %
84%
homeawayprediction58.7440.58safe51.95–65.5333.80–47.37safer50.28–67.2032.13–49.04
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction577397975safe510–644331–464841–1108safer492–663313–481805–1144
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction75.7370.16safe71.70–79.7665.84–74.49safer70.41–81.0564.53–75.80
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6010.9722.57safe8.76–14.448.02–13.9116.78–28.35safer8.01–15.197.27–14.6615.28–29.85
Offsides
36%
18%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.542.855.38safe1.38–3.701.75–3.943.13–7.64safer1.07–4.001.47–4.232.54–8.23
Yellow cards
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.893.24safe0.30–2.400.76–3.021.06–5.42safer0.04–2.670.47–3.310.50–5.98
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.124.196.31safe0.69–3.562.63–5.743.32–9.30safer0.30–3.952.21–6.172.51–10.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.63 1.66–3.60 1.41–3.85 | 0.88 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.96 | 3.51 1.68–5.33 1.20–5.81 | 75% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.94 5.08–8.81 4.59–9.30 | 3.20 1.46–4.94 0.99–5.41 | 10.15 6.54–13.75 5.59–14.71 | 85% |
| Total shots | 19.10 15.17–23.02 14.08–24.11 | 8.82 5.25–12.38 4.29–13.34 | 27.91 20.43–35.40 18.38–37.45 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.97 10.03–15.91 9.20–16.74 | 5.64 2.95–8.32 2.22–9.05 | 18.60 12.98–24.23 11.41–25.79 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 4.92 3.03–6.80 2.49–7.34 | 1.77 0.12–3.42 0.00–3.92 | 6.69 3.15–10.22 2.12–11.26 | 85% |
| Corners | 7.52 5.30–9.73 4.73–10.31 | 3.20 1.20–5.20 0.66–5.73 | 10.71 6.50–14.93 5.39–16.04 | 88% |
| Possession % | 58.74 51.95–65.53 50.28–67.20 | 40.58 33.80–47.37 32.13–49.04 | — | 84% |
| Passes | 577 510–644 492–663 | 397 331–464 313–481 | 975 841–1108 805–1144 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.73 71.70–79.76 70.41–81.05 | 70.16 65.84–74.49 64.53–75.80 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 11.60 8.76–14.44 8.01–15.19 | 10.97 8.02–13.91 7.27–14.66 | 22.57 16.78–28.35 15.28–29.85 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 2.54 1.38–3.70 1.07–4.00 | 2.85 1.75–3.94 1.47–4.23 | 5.38 3.13–7.64 2.54–8.23 | 36% 18% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.30–2.40 0.04–2.67 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.24 1.06–5.42 0.50–5.98 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.12 0.69–3.56 0.30–3.95 | 4.19 2.63–5.74 2.21–6.17 | 6.31 3.32–9.30 2.51–10.11 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.