La Liga·Regular Season - 30·
La Liga·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
24%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.662.81safe0.19–2.120.81–2.510.99–4.64safer0.00–2.370.58–2.740.51–5.12
Shots on target
27%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.845.128.95safe1.97–5.703.37–6.865.35–12.56safer1.48–6.192.91–7.334.39–13.51
Total shots
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0514.4126.46safe8.13–15.9710.85–17.9818.98–33.95safer7.03–17.079.89–18.9416.93–36.00
Shots in box
29%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction8.129.9618.09safe5.18–11.077.28–12.6412.46–23.71safer4.35–11.896.54–13.3810.90–25.28
Blocked shots
35%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.654.207.85safe1.77–5.532.54–5.854.31–11.38safer1.22–6.072.05–6.343.28–12.42
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.795.2510.03safe2.57–7.003.25–7.255.82–14.25safer2.00–7.572.71–7.784.71–15.35
Possession %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction45.5754.94safe38.78–52.3748.16–61.73safer37.11–54.0346.49–63.40
Passes
23%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction453541994safe386–520474–607860–1127safer367–538457–625824–1163
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction68.4877.86safe64.45–72.5173.54–82.18safer63.16–73.8072.23–83.49
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6512.6225.27safe9.81–15.489.68–15.5619.49–31.05safer9.05–16.248.93–16.3117.98–32.55
Offsides
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.743.27safe0.37–2.700.64–2.831.02–5.53safer0.07–3.000.36–3.120.43–6.12
Yellow cards
40%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.012.014.02safe0.96–3.060.88–3.131.84–6.20safer0.70–3.330.59–3.431.28–6.75
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.21safe0.00–0.280.00–0.280.00–0.56safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
56%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.472.626.09safe2.04–4.911.06–4.173.10–9.08safer1.65–5.300.63–4.602.28–9.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.19–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.66 0.81–2.51 0.58–2.74 | 2.81 0.99–4.64 0.51–5.12 | 26% 24% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.84 1.97–5.70 1.48–6.19 | 5.12 3.37–6.86 2.91–7.33 | 8.95 5.35–12.56 4.39–13.51 | 27% 60% |
| Total shots | 12.05 8.13–15.97 7.03–17.07 | 14.41 10.85–17.98 9.89–18.94 | 26.46 18.98–33.95 16.93–36.00 | 29% 64% |
| Shots in box | 8.12 5.18–11.07 4.35–11.89 | 9.96 7.28–12.64 6.54–13.38 | 18.09 12.46–23.71 10.90–25.28 | 29% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.65 1.77–5.53 1.22–6.07 | 4.20 2.54–5.85 2.05–6.34 | 7.85 4.31–11.38 3.28–12.42 | 35% 14% 51% |
| Corners | 4.79 2.57–7.00 2.00–7.57 | 5.25 3.25–7.25 2.71–7.78 | 10.03 5.82–14.25 4.71–15.35 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 45.57 38.78–52.37 37.11–54.03 | 54.94 48.16–61.73 46.49–63.40 | — | 27% 69% |
| Passes | 453 386–520 367–538 | 541 474–607 457–625 | 994 860–1127 824–1163 | 23% 77% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.48 64.45–72.51 63.16–73.80 | 77.86 73.54–82.18 72.23–83.49 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.65 9.81–15.48 9.05–16.24 | 12.62 9.68–15.56 8.93–16.31 | 25.27 19.49–31.05 17.98–32.55 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.37–2.70 0.07–3.00 | 1.74 0.64–2.83 0.36–3.12 | 3.27 1.02–5.53 0.43–6.12 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.96–3.06 0.70–3.33 | 2.01 0.88–3.13 0.59–3.43 | 4.02 1.84–6.20 1.28–6.75 | 40% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.47 2.04–4.91 1.65–5.30 | 2.62 1.06–4.17 0.63–4.60 | 6.09 3.10–9.08 2.28–9.89 | 56% 16% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.