Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
28%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.290.992.29safe0.33–2.260.14–1.850.46–4.11safer0.08–2.510.00–2.080.00–4.59
Shots on target
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.213.427.64safe2.35–6.081.68–5.174.03–11.24safer1.86–6.571.22–5.633.08–12.20
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2510.1222.37safe8.33–16.186.55–13.6814.88–29.86safer7.24–17.275.59–14.6412.83–31.91
Shots in box
49%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction7.276.9014.17safe4.33–10.224.22–9.588.55–19.79safer3.50–11.043.48–10.326.98–21.36
Blocked shots
54%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.252.515.75safe1.36–5.130.85–4.162.22–9.29safer0.82–5.670.36–4.651.18–10.32
Corners
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.463.909.36safe3.25–7.671.90–5.905.15–13.58safer2.67–8.251.37–6.444.04–14.68
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.3838.13safe54.59–68.1731.35–44.92safer52.92–69.8429.68–46.59
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction540326867safe473–607260–393733–1000safer455–625242–410697–1036
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction68.3063.15safe64.27–72.3358.83–67.48safer62.97–73.6257.52–68.79
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6915.4329.12safe10.85–16.5212.49–18.3823.34–34.90safer10.09–17.2811.74–19.1321.83–36.41
Offsides
21%
15%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.943.275.21safe0.78–3.102.18–4.362.96–7.46safer0.48–3.401.89–4.652.37–8.05
Yellow cards
29%
17%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.273.035.29safe1.22–3.321.90–4.163.12–7.47safer0.95–3.581.61–4.452.56–8.03
Red cards
74%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.180.33safe0.00–0.320.00–0.360.00–0.68safer0.00–0.470.00–0.500.00–0.96
GK saves
32%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.372.925.29safe0.93–3.801.36–4.472.29–8.28safer0.54–4.190.94–4.901.48–9.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.33–2.26 0.08–2.51 | 0.99 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 2.29 0.46–4.11 0.00–4.59 | 43% 28% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.21 2.35–6.08 1.86–6.57 | 3.42 1.68–5.17 1.22–5.63 | 7.64 4.03–11.24 3.08–12.20 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Total shots | 12.25 8.33–16.18 7.24–17.27 | 10.12 6.55–13.68 5.59–14.64 | 22.37 14.88–29.86 12.83–31.91 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 7.27 4.33–10.22 3.50–11.04 | 6.90 4.22–9.58 3.48–10.32 | 14.17 8.55–19.79 6.98–21.36 | 49% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 3.25 1.36–5.13 0.82–5.67 | 2.51 0.85–4.16 0.36–4.65 | 5.75 2.22–9.29 1.18–10.32 | 54% 16% 30% |
| Corners | 5.46 3.25–7.67 2.67–8.25 | 3.90 1.90–5.90 1.37–6.44 | 9.36 5.15–13.58 4.04–14.68 | 63% 25% |
| Possession % | 61.38 54.59–68.17 52.92–69.84 | 38.13 31.35–44.92 29.68–46.59 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 540 473–607 455–625 | 326 260–393 242–410 | 867 733–1000 697–1036 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.30 64.27–72.33 62.97–73.62 | 63.15 58.83–67.48 57.52–68.79 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 13.69 10.85–16.52 10.09–17.28 | 15.43 12.49–18.38 11.74–19.13 | 29.12 23.34–34.90 21.83–36.41 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.40 | 3.27 2.18–4.36 1.89–4.65 | 5.21 2.96–7.46 2.37–8.05 | 21% 15% 64% |
| Yellow cards | 2.27 1.22–3.32 0.95–3.58 | 3.03 1.90–4.16 1.61–4.45 | 5.29 3.12–7.47 2.56–8.03 | 29% 17% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.18 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.50 | 0.33 0.00–0.68 0.00–0.96 | 74% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.37 0.93–3.80 0.54–4.19 | 2.92 1.36–4.47 0.94–4.90 | 5.29 2.29–8.28 1.48–9.09 | 32% 17% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.