La Liga·Regular Season - 30·
La Liga·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
25%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.582.87safe0.32–2.250.73–2.441.05–4.69safer0.07–2.510.50–2.670.57–5.17
Shots on target
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.224.979.18safe2.35–6.083.23–6.715.58–12.79safer1.86–6.572.76–7.184.62–13.75
Total shots
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5114.6828.19safe9.58–17.4311.12–18.2520.70–35.68safer8.49–18.5210.16–19.2018.65–37.73
Shots in box
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction8.138.8216.95safe5.18–11.076.14–11.5011.33–22.57safer4.36–11.905.41–12.249.76–24.14
Blocked shots
38%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.724.047.76safe1.83–5.602.39–5.694.22–11.29safer1.29–6.141.90–6.193.19–12.33
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5.215.2510.47safe3.00–7.433.25–7.256.25–14.68safer2.43–8.002.72–7.785.15–15.79
Possession %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction46.3353.50safe39.54–53.1246.71–60.28safer37.87–54.7945.04–61.95
Passes
39%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction417449866safe350–484383–516733–1000safer332–503365–533697–1036
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction65.9472.21safe61.91–69.9767.89–76.53safer60.62–71.2666.58–77.84
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7912.3023.09safe7.95–13.639.35–15.2417.30–28.87safer7.19–14.388.61–15.9915.80–30.37
Offsides
33%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.742.043.78safe0.57–2.900.95–3.131.52–6.03safer0.27–3.200.66–3.420.93–6.62
Yellow cards
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.612.213.82safe0.56–2.661.08–3.341.64–6.00safer0.29–2.920.79–3.631.08–6.56
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.232.776.00safe1.79–4.661.21–4.333.00–8.99safer1.40–5.050.79–4.752.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.25 0.07–2.51 | 1.58 0.73–2.44 0.50–2.67 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 31% 25% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.22 2.35–6.08 1.86–6.57 | 4.97 3.23–6.71 2.76–7.18 | 9.18 5.58–12.79 4.62–13.75 | 34% 53% |
| Total shots | 13.51 9.58–17.43 8.49–18.52 | 14.68 11.12–18.25 10.16–19.20 | 28.19 20.70–35.68 18.65–37.73 | 38% 55% |
| Shots in box | 8.13 5.18–11.07 4.36–11.90 | 8.82 6.14–11.50 5.41–12.24 | 16.95 11.33–22.57 9.76–24.14 | 39% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.72 1.83–5.60 1.29–6.14 | 4.04 2.39–5.69 1.90–6.19 | 7.76 4.22–11.29 3.19–12.33 | 38% 14% 47% |
| Corners | 5.21 3.00–7.43 2.43–8.00 | 5.25 3.25–7.25 2.72–7.78 | 10.47 6.25–14.68 5.15–15.79 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 46.33 39.54–53.12 37.87–54.79 | 53.50 46.71–60.28 45.04–61.95 | — | 31% 64% |
| Passes | 417 350–484 332–503 | 449 383–516 365–533 | 866 733–1000 697–1036 | 39% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.94 61.91–69.97 60.62–71.26 | 72.21 67.89–76.53 66.58–77.84 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 10.79 7.95–13.63 7.19–14.38 | 12.30 9.35–15.24 8.61–15.99 | 23.09 17.30–28.87 15.80–30.37 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.57–2.90 0.27–3.20 | 2.04 0.95–3.13 0.66–3.42 | 3.78 1.52–6.03 0.93–6.62 | 33% 21% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.29–2.92 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 3.82 1.64–6.00 1.08–6.56 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.23 1.79–4.66 1.40–5.05 | 2.77 1.21–4.33 0.79–4.75 | 6.00 3.00–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.