Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
27%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.292.44safe0.18–2.110.44–2.150.62–4.26safer0.00–2.370.21–2.380.14–4.74
Shots on target
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.403.898.29safe2.54–6.272.15–5.634.69–11.90safer2.05–6.751.68–6.103.73–12.85
Total shots
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3911.3424.72safe9.46–17.317.78–14.9017.24–32.21safer8.37–18.406.82–15.8615.19–34.26
Shots in box
50%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction8.087.6115.70safe5.14–11.034.93–10.2910.07–21.32safer4.31–11.864.19–11.038.51–22.89
Blocked shots
55%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.612.766.37safe1.73–5.491.11–4.422.84–9.91safer1.18–6.030.62–4.911.80–10.94
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.514.089.59safe3.30–7.732.08–6.085.38–13.81safer2.73–8.301.55–6.614.27–14.91
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.2244.19safe48.43–62.0137.41–50.98safer46.76–63.6835.74–52.65
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction493377871safe426–561311–444737–1004safer408–579293–461701–1040
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction70.2567.75safe66.22–74.2863.43–72.08safer64.93–75.5762.12–73.39
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0913.1827.26safe11.25–16.9210.23–16.1221.48–33.04safer10.49–17.689.48–16.8719.98–34.55
Offsides
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.893.41safe0.35–2.680.80–2.981.15–5.66safer0.05–2.980.51–3.270.56–6.25
Yellow cards
38%
19%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.202.334.53safe1.15–3.251.20–3.462.36–6.71safer0.89–3.520.91–3.751.80–7.27
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.533.045.57safe1.09–3.961.48–4.602.58–8.56safer0.70–4.351.06–5.021.76–9.37
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.11 0.00–2.37 | 1.29 0.44–2.15 0.21–2.38 | 2.44 0.62–4.26 0.14–4.74 | 33% 27% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.40 2.54–6.27 2.05–6.75 | 3.89 2.15–5.63 1.68–6.10 | 8.29 4.69–11.90 3.73–12.85 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Total shots | 13.39 9.46–17.31 8.37–18.40 | 11.34 7.78–14.90 6.82–15.86 | 24.72 17.24–32.21 15.19–34.26 | 62% 30% |
| Shots in box | 8.08 5.14–11.03 4.31–11.86 | 7.61 4.93–10.29 4.19–11.03 | 15.70 10.07–21.32 8.51–22.89 | 50% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.73–5.49 1.18–6.03 | 2.76 1.11–4.42 0.62–4.91 | 6.37 2.84–9.91 1.80–10.94 | 55% 15% 29% |
| Corners | 5.51 3.30–7.73 2.73–8.30 | 4.08 2.08–6.08 1.55–6.61 | 9.59 5.38–13.81 4.27–14.91 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 55.22 48.43–62.01 46.76–63.68 | 44.19 37.41–50.98 35.74–52.65 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 493 426–561 408–579 | 377 311–444 293–461 | 871 737–1004 701–1040 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.25 66.22–74.28 64.93–75.57 | 67.75 63.43–72.08 62.12–73.39 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 14.09 11.25–16.92 10.49–17.68 | 13.18 10.23–16.12 9.48–16.87 | 27.26 21.48–33.04 19.98–34.55 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.68 0.05–2.98 | 1.89 0.80–2.98 0.51–3.27 | 3.41 1.15–5.66 0.56–6.25 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 2.20 1.15–3.25 0.89–3.52 | 2.33 1.20–3.46 0.91–3.75 | 4.53 2.36–6.71 1.80–7.27 | 38% 19% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.09–3.96 0.70–4.35 | 3.04 1.48–4.60 1.06–5.02 | 5.57 2.58–8.56 1.76–9.37 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+