La Liga·Regular Season - 31·
La Liga·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
25%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.642.59safe0.00–1.910.79–2.500.77–4.41safer0.00–2.170.56–2.720.29–4.89
Shots on target
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.475.559.01safe1.60–5.333.81–7.295.41–12.62safer1.11–5.823.34–7.764.45–13.58
Total shots
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3014.1026.40safe8.38–16.2310.53–17.6618.91–33.89safer7.29–17.329.57–18.6216.86–35.94
Shots in box
28%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction7.489.3116.79safe4.54–10.426.63–11.9911.16–22.41safer3.71–11.255.89–12.729.60–23.98
Blocked shots
23%
13%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.874.367.23safe0.99–4.762.70–6.013.69–10.76safer0.45–5.302.21–6.502.66–11.80
Corners
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.315.259.56safe2.09–6.523.25–7.255.35–13.77safer1.52–7.102.72–7.784.24–14.88
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction37.9363.00safe31.13–44.7256.22–69.79safer29.47–46.3954.55–71.46
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction336567903safe269–403501–634770–1037safer251–421483–651734–1073
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction63.2675.72safe59.23–67.2971.40–80.04safer57.94–68.5870.09–81.35
Fouls
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8910.9624.85safe11.05–16.738.01–13.9019.06–30.63safer10.30–17.487.26–14.6517.56–32.13
Offsides
58%
17%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.891.944.83safe1.73–4.050.85–3.042.58–7.09safer1.43–4.350.56–3.331.99–7.68
Yellow cards
50%
19%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.411.874.28safe1.36–3.460.74–3.002.10–6.46safer1.09–3.720.45–3.291.54–7.02
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
56%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.532.626.15safe2.10–4.971.06–4.173.16–9.14safer1.71–5.360.63–4.602.34–9.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.91 0.00–2.17 | 1.64 0.79–2.50 0.56–2.72 | 2.59 0.77–4.41 0.29–4.89 | 22% 25% 54% |
| Shots on target | 3.47 1.60–5.33 1.11–5.82 | 5.55 3.81–7.29 3.34–7.76 | 9.01 5.41–12.62 4.45–13.58 | 19% 70% |
| Total shots | 12.30 8.38–16.23 7.29–17.32 | 14.10 10.53–17.66 9.57–18.62 | 26.40 18.91–33.89 16.86–35.94 | 33% 60% |
| Shots in box | 7.48 4.54–10.42 3.71–11.25 | 9.31 6.63–11.99 5.89–12.72 | 16.79 11.16–22.41 9.60–23.98 | 28% 63% |
| Blocked shots | 2.87 0.99–4.76 0.45–5.30 | 4.36 2.70–6.01 2.21–6.50 | 7.23 3.69–10.76 2.66–11.80 | 23% 13% 64% |
| Corners | 4.31 2.09–6.52 1.52–7.10 | 5.25 3.25–7.25 2.72–7.78 | 9.56 5.35–13.77 4.24–14.88 | 32% 56% |
| Possession % | 37.93 31.13–44.72 29.47–46.39 | 63.00 56.22–69.79 54.55–71.46 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 336 269–403 251–421 | 567 501–634 483–651 | 903 770–1037 734–1073 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.26 59.23–67.29 57.94–68.58 | 75.72 71.40–80.04 70.09–81.35 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 13.89 11.05–16.73 10.30–17.48 | 10.96 8.01–13.90 7.26–14.65 | 24.85 19.06–30.63 17.56–32.13 | 69% 24% |
| Offsides | 2.89 1.73–4.05 1.43–4.35 | 1.94 0.85–3.04 0.56–3.33 | 4.83 2.58–7.09 1.99–7.68 | 58% 17% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 2.41 1.36–3.46 1.09–3.72 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 4.28 2.10–6.46 1.54–7.02 | 50% 19% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.53 2.10–4.97 1.71–5.36 | 2.62 1.06–4.17 0.63–4.60 | 6.15 3.16–9.14 2.34–9.95 | 56% 15% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.