La Liga·Regular Season - 31·
La Liga·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.802.653.44safe0.00–1.771.79–3.501.62–5.27safer0.00–2.021.56–3.731.14–5.75
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction3.076.749.81safe1.21–4.935.00–8.486.21–13.42safer0.72–5.424.53–8.955.25–14.37
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3118.3728.69safe6.39–14.2414.81–21.9421.20–36.17safer5.30–15.3313.85–22.8919.15–38.22
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction6.3712.0618.43safe3.43–9.319.38–14.7412.81–24.05safer2.60–10.148.64–15.4811.24–25.62
Blocked shots
17%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.965.118.06safe1.08–4.843.45–6.764.53–11.60safer0.53–5.382.96–7.253.49–12.64
Corners
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.496.009.49safe1.28–5.714.00–8.005.28–13.71safer0.71–6.283.47–8.534.17–14.82
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction36.6664.11safe29.87–43.4557.32–70.89safer28.20–45.1255.65–72.56
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction353598951safe286–420532–665818–1085safer268–439514–682782–1121
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction63.7378.05safe59.71–67.7673.72–82.37safer58.41–69.0672.41–83.68
Fouls
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7011.1525.85safe11.87–17.548.20–14.0920.07–31.63safer11.11–18.307.45–14.8418.56–33.14
Offsides
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.643.28safe0.48–2.800.54–2.731.03–5.53safer0.18–3.110.26–3.020.44–6.12
Yellow cards
56%
18%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.591.764.34safe1.54–3.640.63–2.892.17–6.52safer1.27–3.900.34–3.181.61–7.08
Red cards
14%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.080.24safe0.01–0.330.00–0.260.00–0.59safer0.00–0.480.00–0.400.00–0.87
GK saves
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.442.306.73safe3.00–5.870.74–3.853.74–9.72safer2.61–6.260.32–4.282.93–10.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.80 0.00–1.77 0.00–2.02 | 2.65 1.79–3.50 1.56–3.73 | 3.44 1.62–5.27 1.14–5.75 | 14% 77% |
| Shots on target | 3.07 1.21–4.93 0.72–5.42 | 6.74 5.00–8.48 4.53–8.95 | 9.81 6.21–13.42 5.25–14.37 | 85% |
| Total shots | 10.31 6.39–14.24 5.30–15.33 | 18.37 14.81–21.94 13.85–22.89 | 28.69 21.20–36.17 19.15–38.22 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 6.37 3.43–9.31 2.60–10.14 | 12.06 9.38–14.74 8.64–15.48 | 18.43 12.81–24.05 11.24–25.62 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 2.96 1.08–4.84 0.53–5.38 | 5.11 3.45–6.76 2.96–7.25 | 8.06 4.53–11.60 3.49–12.64 | 17% 72% |
| Corners | 3.49 1.28–5.71 0.71–6.28 | 6.00 4.00–8.00 3.47–8.53 | 9.49 5.28–13.71 4.17–14.82 | 16% 74% |
| Possession % | 36.66 29.87–43.45 28.20–45.12 | 64.11 57.32–70.89 55.65–72.56 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 353 286–420 268–439 | 598 532–665 514–682 | 951 818–1085 782–1121 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.73 59.71–67.76 58.41–69.06 | 78.05 73.72–82.37 72.41–83.68 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 14.70 11.87–17.54 11.11–18.30 | 11.15 8.20–14.09 7.45–14.84 | 25.85 20.07–31.63 18.56–33.14 | 73% 21% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.11 | 1.64 0.54–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 3.28 1.03–5.53 0.44–6.12 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 2.59 1.54–3.64 1.27–3.90 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 4.34 2.17–6.52 1.61–7.08 | 56% 18% 26% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.01–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 14% 79% |
| GK saves | 4.44 3.00–5.87 2.61–6.26 | 2.30 0.74–3.85 0.32–4.28 | 6.73 3.74–9.72 2.93–10.54 | 74% 15% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+