Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
28%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.172.39safe0.25–2.190.32–2.030.57–4.22safer0.00–2.440.09–2.260.09–4.70
Shots on target
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.243.908.14safe2.37–6.102.16–5.644.53–11.74safer1.88–6.591.69–6.113.57–12.70
Total shots
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5812.6325.21safe8.65–16.509.07–16.2017.72–32.70safer7.56–17.598.11–17.1615.67–34.75
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction8.068.0816.14safe5.12–11.005.40–10.7610.51–21.76safer4.29–11.834.66–11.508.95–23.33
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.973.527.48safe2.09–5.851.86–5.173.95–11.02safer1.54–6.391.37–5.662.91–12.06
Corners
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.784.3210.10safe3.56–7.992.32–6.325.88–14.31safer2.99–8.561.79–6.854.78–15.42
Possession %
80%
16%
homeawayprediction58.1642.63safe51.37–64.9535.85–49.42safer49.70–66.6234.18–51.09
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction504344848safe436–571278–410714–981safer418–589260–428678–1017
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction68.2767.01safe64.24–72.3062.69–71.34safer62.95–73.5961.38–72.65
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0813.1025.18safe9.24–14.9210.16–16.0519.40–30.97safer8.49–15.679.41–16.8017.90–32.47
Offsides
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.833.53safe0.54–2.860.74–2.921.27–5.78safer0.23–3.160.45–3.210.68–6.37
Yellow cards
35%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.922.164.08safe0.87–2.971.03–3.291.90–6.26safer0.61–3.240.74–3.581.35–6.82
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.643.055.70safe1.21–4.081.50–4.612.71–8.69safer0.82–4.471.07–5.031.89–9.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.17 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.26 | 2.39 0.57–4.22 0.09–4.70 | 37% 28% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.24 2.37–6.10 1.88–6.59 | 3.90 2.16–5.64 1.69–6.11 | 8.14 4.53–11.74 3.57–12.70 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 12.58 8.65–16.50 7.56–17.59 | 12.63 9.07–16.20 8.11–17.16 | 25.21 17.72–32.70 15.67–34.75 | 46% 46% |
| Shots in box | 8.06 5.12–11.00 4.29–11.83 | 8.08 5.40–10.76 4.66–11.50 | 16.14 10.51–21.76 8.95–23.33 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.97 2.09–5.85 1.54–6.39 | 3.52 1.86–5.17 1.37–5.66 | 7.48 3.95–11.02 2.91–12.06 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.78 3.56–7.99 2.99–8.56 | 4.32 2.32–6.32 1.79–6.85 | 10.10 5.88–14.31 4.78–15.42 | 62% 27% |
| Possession % | 58.16 51.37–64.95 49.70–66.62 | 42.63 35.85–49.42 34.18–51.09 | — | 80% 16% |
| Passes | 504 436–571 418–589 | 344 278–410 260–428 | 848 714–981 678–1017 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.27 64.24–72.30 62.95–73.59 | 67.01 62.69–71.34 61.38–72.65 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 12.08 9.24–14.92 8.49–15.67 | 13.10 10.16–16.05 9.41–16.80 | 25.18 19.40–30.97 17.90–32.47 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.23–3.16 | 1.83 0.74–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 3.53 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 4.08 1.90–6.26 1.35–6.82 | 35% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.21–4.08 0.82–4.47 | 3.05 1.50–4.61 1.07–5.03 | 5.70 2.71–8.69 1.89–9.50 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.