La Liga·Regular Season - 32·
La Liga·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
28%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.162.37safe0.24–2.180.30–2.010.55–4.19safer0.00–2.430.08–2.240.07–4.67
Shots on target
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.124.428.54safe2.26–5.982.68–6.174.94–12.15safer1.77–6.472.22–6.633.98–13.10
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2913.2126.50safe9.37–17.229.64–16.7719.01–33.99safer8.28–18.318.68–17.7316.96–36.04
Shots in box
49%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction8.147.7315.87safe5.20–11.085.05–10.4110.25–21.49safer4.37–11.914.31–11.158.68–23.06
Blocked shots
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.453.767.21safe1.57–5.332.11–5.423.68–10.75safer1.02–5.871.62–5.912.64–11.78
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.024.789.80safe2.80–7.232.78–6.785.59–14.02safer2.23–7.812.25–7.324.48–15.12
Possession %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction44.8355.64safe38.04–51.6248.85–62.42safer36.37–53.2947.18–64.09
Passes
26%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction372449821safe305–439383–516688–955safer287–457365–533652–991
Pass accuracy %
16%
80%
homeawayprediction62.7869.93safe58.75–66.8165.60–74.25safer57.46–68.1064.29–75.56
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7312.6725.40safe9.90–15.579.72–15.6119.62–31.18safer9.14–16.338.97–16.3618.11–32.69
Offsides
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.111.924.03safe0.95–3.270.83–3.021.78–6.28safer0.65–3.570.54–3.301.19–6.87
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.042.314.35safe0.99–3.091.18–3.442.17–6.53safer0.72–3.350.89–3.731.62–7.09
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.120.24safe0.00–0.280.00–0.310.00–0.59safer0.00–0.430.00–0.440.00–0.87
GK saves
42%
18%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.752.695.43safe1.31–4.181.13–4.242.44–8.42safer0.92–4.570.71–4.671.63–9.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.24–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.16 0.30–2.01 0.08–2.24 | 2.37 0.55–4.19 0.07–4.67 | 37% 28% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.12 2.26–5.98 1.77–6.47 | 4.42 2.68–6.17 2.22–6.63 | 8.54 4.94–12.15 3.98–13.10 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total shots | 13.29 9.37–17.22 8.28–18.31 | 13.21 9.64–16.77 8.68–17.73 | 26.50 19.01–33.99 16.96–36.04 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 8.14 5.20–11.08 4.37–11.91 | 7.73 5.05–10.41 4.31–11.15 | 15.87 10.25–21.49 8.68–23.06 | 49% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 3.45 1.57–5.33 1.02–5.87 | 3.76 2.11–5.42 1.62–5.91 | 7.21 3.68–10.75 2.64–11.78 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 5.02 2.80–7.23 2.23–7.81 | 4.78 2.78–6.78 2.25–7.32 | 9.80 5.59–14.02 4.48–15.12 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 44.83 38.04–51.62 36.37–53.29 | 55.64 48.85–62.42 47.18–64.09 | — | 24% 72% |
| Passes | 372 305–439 287–457 | 449 383–516 365–533 | 821 688–955 652–991 | 26% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.78 58.75–66.81 57.46–68.10 | 69.93 65.60–74.25 64.29–75.56 | — | 16% 80% |
| Fouls | 12.73 9.90–15.57 9.14–16.33 | 12.67 9.72–15.61 8.97–16.36 | 25.40 19.62–31.18 18.11–32.69 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.11 0.95–3.27 0.65–3.57 | 1.92 0.83–3.02 0.54–3.30 | 4.03 1.78–6.28 1.19–6.87 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.04 0.99–3.09 0.72–3.35 | 2.31 1.18–3.44 0.89–3.73 | 4.35 2.17–6.53 1.62–7.09 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.75 1.31–4.18 0.92–4.57 | 2.69 1.13–4.24 0.71–4.67 | 5.43 2.44–8.42 1.63–9.24 | 42% 18% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+