La Liga·Regular Season - 32·
La Liga·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.130.792.92safe1.16–3.100.00–1.641.10–4.74safer0.91–3.350.00–1.870.62–5.22
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.952.728.66safe4.09–7.810.97–4.465.06–12.27safer3.60–8.300.51–4.924.10–13.22
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction16.429.0525.47safe12.49–20.345.49–12.6217.99–32.96safer11.40–21.444.53–13.5815.94–35.01
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction11.505.1516.65safe8.56–14.442.47–7.8311.03–22.28safer7.73–15.271.73–8.579.46–23.84
Blocked shots
76%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction4.312.056.36safe2.43–6.190.40–3.702.82–9.89safer1.88–6.730.00–4.191.79–10.93
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.533.139.66safe4.32–8.741.13–5.135.45–13.88safer3.74–9.320.60–5.674.34–14.99
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.8636.83safe57.07–70.6530.04–43.61safer55.40–72.3228.37–45.28
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction611322933safe544–678255–388799–1066safer526–697238–406763–1102
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction76.2467.60safe72.21–80.2763.27–71.92safer70.92–81.5661.96–73.23
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3411.1723.51safe9.50–15.178.22–14.1117.72–29.29safer8.74–15.937.48–14.8616.22–30.79
Offsides
51%
22%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.433.44safe0.85–3.170.34–2.531.19–5.69safer0.55–3.470.05–2.810.60–6.28
Yellow cards
28%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.492.033.52safe0.44–2.540.90–3.161.34–5.70safer0.17–2.800.61–3.450.78–6.25
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
18%
14%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction1.963.575.53safe0.53–3.402.01–5.122.54–8.52safer0.14–3.791.59–5.551.72–9.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.13 1.16–3.10 0.91–3.35 | 0.79 0.00–1.64 0.00–1.87 | 2.92 1.10–4.74 0.62–5.22 | 68% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.95 4.09–7.81 3.60–8.30 | 2.72 0.97–4.46 0.51–4.92 | 8.66 5.06–12.27 4.10–13.22 | 83% |
| Total shots | 16.42 12.49–20.34 11.40–21.44 | 9.05 5.49–12.62 4.53–13.58 | 25.47 17.99–32.96 15.94–35.01 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 11.50 8.56–14.44 7.73–15.27 | 5.15 2.47–7.83 1.73–8.57 | 16.65 11.03–22.28 9.46–23.84 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 4.31 2.43–6.19 1.88–6.73 | 2.05 0.40–3.70 0.00–4.19 | 6.36 2.82–9.89 1.79–10.93 | 76% 13% |
| Corners | 6.53 4.32–8.74 3.74–9.32 | 3.13 1.13–5.13 0.60–5.67 | 9.66 5.45–13.88 4.34–14.99 | 83% |
| Possession % | 63.86 57.07–70.65 55.40–72.32 | 36.83 30.04–43.61 28.37–45.28 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 611 544–678 526–697 | 322 255–388 238–406 | 933 799–1066 763–1102 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.24 72.21–80.27 70.92–81.56 | 67.60 63.27–71.92 61.96–73.23 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.34 9.50–15.17 8.74–15.93 | 11.17 8.22–14.11 7.48–14.86 | 23.51 17.72–29.29 16.22–30.79 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.55–3.47 | 1.43 0.34–2.53 0.05–2.81 | 3.44 1.19–5.69 0.60–6.28 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.44–2.54 0.17–2.80 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.78–6.25 | 28% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.96 0.53–3.40 0.14–3.79 | 3.57 2.01–5.12 1.59–5.55 | 5.53 2.54–8.52 1.72–9.33 | 18% 14% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+