Predicted match statistics
Goals
89%
homeawaytotalprediction3.610.664.28safe2.64–4.580.00–1.522.45–6.10safer2.39–4.830.00–1.751.97–6.58
Shots on target
96%
homeawaytotalprediction8.502.3810.88safe6.64–10.360.64–4.137.28–14.49safer6.15–10.850.17–4.596.32–15.44
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction21.456.7528.21safe17.53–25.383.19–10.3120.72–35.69safer16.44–26.472.23–11.2718.67–37.74
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction15.044.4719.51safe12.09–17.981.79–7.1513.89–25.13safer11.27–18.811.05–7.8912.32–26.70
Blocked shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction5.731.437.15safe3.84–7.610.00–3.083.62–10.69safer3.30–8.150.00–3.572.58–11.73
Corners
95%
homeawaytotalprediction8.172.5010.67safe5.96–10.390.50–4.506.46–14.88safer5.38–10.960.00–5.035.35–15.99
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction74.4824.99safe67.69–81.2718.20–31.77safer66.02–82.9416.53–33.44
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7572631020safe690–824197–330887–1154safer671–842179–347851–1190
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction83.6564.67safe79.62–87.6860.35–68.99safer78.33–88.9759.04–70.30
Fouls
19%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction9.1612.7221.88safe6.33–12.009.77–15.6616.10–27.66safer5.57–12.769.02–16.4114.59–29.17
Offsides
16%
14%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction1.773.515.28safe0.61–2.932.42–4.603.02–7.53safer0.30–3.232.13–4.892.43–8.12
Yellow cards
22%
23%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.081.812.89safe0.03–2.130.68–2.940.71–5.07safer0.00–2.390.39–3.230.15–5.62
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
85%
homeawaytotalprediction1.875.086.96safe0.44–3.313.53–6.643.96–9.95safer0.05–3.693.10–7.073.15–10.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.61 2.64–4.58 2.39–4.83 | 0.66 0.00–1.52 0.00–1.75 | 4.28 2.45–6.10 1.97–6.58 | 89% |
| Shots on target | 8.50 6.64–10.36 6.15–10.85 | 2.38 0.64–4.13 0.17–4.59 | 10.88 7.28–14.49 6.32–15.44 | 96% |
| Total shots | 21.45 17.53–25.38 16.44–26.47 | 6.75 3.19–10.31 2.23–11.27 | 28.21 20.72–35.69 18.67–37.74 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 15.04 12.09–17.98 11.27–18.81 | 4.47 1.79–7.15 1.05–7.89 | 19.51 13.89–25.13 12.32–26.70 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.73 3.84–7.61 3.30–8.15 | 1.43 0.00–3.08 0.00–3.57 | 7.15 3.62–10.69 2.58–11.73 | 93% |
| Corners | 8.17 5.96–10.39 5.38–10.96 | 2.50 0.50–4.50 0.00–5.03 | 10.67 6.46–14.88 5.35–15.99 | 95% |
| Possession % | 74.48 67.69–81.27 66.02–82.94 | 24.99 18.20–31.77 16.53–33.44 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 757 690–824 671–842 | 263 197–330 179–347 | 1020 887–1154 851–1190 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.65 79.62–87.68 78.33–88.97 | 64.67 60.35–68.99 59.04–70.30 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 9.16 6.33–12.00 5.57–12.76 | 12.72 9.77–15.66 9.02–16.41 | 21.88 16.10–27.66 14.59–29.17 | 19% 74% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.30–3.23 | 3.51 2.42–4.60 2.13–4.89 | 5.28 3.02–7.53 2.43–8.12 | 16% 14% 71% |
| Yellow cards | 1.08 0.03–2.13 0.00–2.39 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 2.89 0.71–5.07 0.15–5.62 | 22% 23% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.87 0.44–3.31 0.05–3.69 | 5.08 3.53–6.64 3.10–7.07 | 6.96 3.96–9.95 3.15–10.76 | 85% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.