La Liga·Regular Season - 32·
La Liga·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
27%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.352.48safe0.17–2.100.49–2.200.66–4.31safer0.00–2.360.26–2.430.18–4.79
Shots on target
33%
13%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.944.758.69safe2.08–5.803.01–6.495.09–12.30safer1.59–6.292.54–6.964.13–13.25
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0812.8724.94safe8.15–16.009.30–16.4317.46–32.43safer7.06–17.098.34–17.3915.41–34.48
Shots in box
40%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction7.407.8515.25safe4.46–10.345.17–10.539.63–20.88safer3.63–11.174.44–11.278.06–22.44
Blocked shots
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.543.086.62safe1.66–5.421.42–4.733.08–10.15safer1.11–5.970.93–5.222.05–11.19
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.044.599.63safe2.83–7.262.59–6.595.42–13.84safer2.26–7.832.05–7.124.31–14.95
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction49.6849.56safe42.89–56.4742.77–56.34safer41.22–58.1441.10–58.01
Passes
53%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction494484979safe427–562418–551845–1112safer409–580400–568809–1148
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction70.8673.79safe66.83–74.8969.47–78.12safer65.54–76.1868.16–79.43
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2912.5323.81safe8.45–14.139.58–15.4718.03–29.60safer7.70–14.888.83–16.2216.53–31.10
Offsides
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.763.21safe0.28–2.600.67–2.860.96–5.46safer0.00–2.910.38–3.150.37–6.05
Yellow cards
33%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.013.71safe0.66–2.760.88–3.141.54–5.89safer0.39–3.020.59–3.430.98–6.45
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.302.846.14safe1.86–4.741.28–4.403.15–9.13safer1.48–5.120.86–4.822.34–9.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.17–2.10 0.00–2.36 | 1.35 0.49–2.20 0.26–2.43 | 2.48 0.66–4.31 0.18–4.79 | 32% 27% 42% |
| Shots on target | 3.94 2.08–5.80 1.59–6.29 | 4.75 3.01–6.49 2.54–6.96 | 8.69 5.09–12.30 4.13–13.25 | 33% 13% 54% |
| Total shots | 12.08 8.15–16.00 7.06–17.09 | 12.87 9.30–16.43 8.34–17.39 | 24.94 17.46–32.43 15.41–34.48 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 7.40 4.46–10.34 3.63–11.17 | 7.85 5.17–10.53 4.44–11.27 | 15.25 9.63–20.88 8.06–22.44 | 40% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 3.54 1.66–5.42 1.11–5.97 | 3.08 1.42–4.73 0.93–5.22 | 6.62 3.08–10.15 2.05–11.19 | 49% 16% 35% |
| Corners | 5.04 2.83–7.26 2.26–7.83 | 4.59 2.59–6.59 2.05–7.12 | 9.63 5.42–13.84 4.31–14.95 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 49.68 42.89–56.47 41.22–58.14 | 49.56 42.77–56.34 41.10–58.01 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 494 427–562 409–580 | 484 418–551 400–568 | 979 845–1112 809–1148 | 53% 47% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.86 66.83–74.89 65.54–76.18 | 73.79 69.47–78.12 68.16–79.43 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 11.29 8.45–14.13 7.70–14.88 | 12.53 9.58–15.47 8.83–16.22 | 23.81 18.03–29.60 16.53–31.10 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.91 | 1.76 0.67–2.86 0.38–3.15 | 3.21 0.96–5.46 0.37–6.05 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.39–3.02 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 3.71 1.54–5.89 0.98–6.45 | 33% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.30 1.86–4.74 1.48–5.12 | 2.84 1.28–4.40 0.86–4.82 | 6.14 3.15–9.13 2.34–9.95 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.