Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
25%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.570.922.49safe0.60–2.530.07–1.780.67–4.31safer0.35–2.790.00–2.000.19–4.79
Shots on target
63%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.833.378.20safe2.97–6.691.63–5.124.60–11.81safer2.48–7.181.17–5.583.64–12.77
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction14.699.3624.06safe10.77–18.625.80–12.9216.57–31.54safer9.68–19.714.84–13.8814.52–33.59
Shots in box
68%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction8.316.0314.34safe5.37–11.253.35–8.718.71–19.96safer4.54–12.082.61–9.457.15–21.53
Blocked shots
70%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.042.236.27safe2.16–5.930.58–3.882.74–9.81safer1.62–6.470.08–4.371.70–10.84
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.663.429.07safe3.44–7.871.42–5.424.86–13.29safer2.87–8.440.89–5.953.75–14.40
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.3738.23safe53.58–67.1631.45–45.02safer51.91–68.8329.78–46.69
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction547350897safe480–614284–417763–1031safer462–632266–434728–1067
Pass accuracy %
79%
17%
homeawayprediction70.8364.06safe66.80–74.8659.74–68.38safer65.51–76.1558.43–69.69
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1815.1529.33safe11.35–17.0212.20–18.0923.55–35.11safer10.59–17.7811.45–18.8422.05–36.62
Offsides
17%
16%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.492.904.38safe0.33–2.651.80–3.992.13–6.63safer0.02–2.951.51–4.281.54–7.22
Yellow cards
26%
17%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.012.884.89safe0.96–3.061.75–4.012.71–7.06safer0.69–3.321.46–4.302.15–7.62
Red cards
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.160.27safe0.00–0.270.00–0.350.00–0.62safer0.00–0.420.00–0.480.00–0.90
GK saves
21%
15%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.073.425.49safe0.64–3.511.86–4.972.50–8.49safer0.25–3.901.44–5.401.69–9.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.57 0.60–2.53 0.35–2.79 | 0.92 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.00 | 2.49 0.67–4.31 0.19–4.79 | 52% 25% 22% |
| Shots on target | 4.83 2.97–6.69 2.48–7.18 | 3.37 1.63–5.12 1.17–5.58 | 8.20 4.60–11.81 3.64–12.77 | 63% 24% |
| Total shots | 14.69 10.77–18.62 9.68–19.71 | 9.36 5.80–12.92 4.84–13.88 | 24.06 16.57–31.54 14.52–33.59 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 8.31 5.37–11.25 4.54–12.08 | 6.03 3.35–8.71 2.61–9.45 | 14.34 8.71–19.96 7.15–21.53 | 68% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.04 2.16–5.93 1.62–6.47 | 2.23 0.58–3.88 0.08–4.37 | 6.27 2.74–9.81 1.70–10.84 | 70% 17% |
| Corners | 5.66 3.44–7.87 2.87–8.44 | 3.42 1.42–5.42 0.89–5.95 | 9.07 4.86–13.29 3.75–14.40 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 60.37 53.58–67.16 51.91–68.83 | 38.23 31.45–45.02 29.78–46.69 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 547 480–614 462–632 | 350 284–417 266–434 | 897 763–1031 728–1067 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.83 66.80–74.86 65.51–76.15 | 64.06 59.74–68.38 58.43–69.69 | — | 79% 17% |
| Fouls | 14.18 11.35–17.02 10.59–17.78 | 15.15 12.20–18.09 11.45–18.84 | 29.33 23.55–35.11 22.05–36.62 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.02–2.95 | 2.90 1.80–3.99 1.51–4.28 | 4.38 2.13–6.63 1.54–7.22 | 17% 16% 67% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.96–3.06 0.69–3.32 | 2.88 1.75–4.01 1.46–4.30 | 4.89 2.71–7.06 2.15–7.62 | 26% 17% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 77% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.07 0.64–3.51 0.25–3.90 | 3.42 1.86–4.97 1.44–5.40 | 5.49 2.50–8.49 1.69–9.30 | 21% 15% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.