La Liga·Regular Season - 32·
La Liga·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction0.822.193.01safe0.00–1.781.34–3.051.19–4.83safer0.00–2.041.11–3.280.71–5.31
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.586.8310.41safe1.71–5.445.09–8.586.80–14.01safer1.22–5.934.62–9.045.85–14.97
Total shots
18%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1517.6730.83safe9.23–17.0814.11–21.2423.34–38.31safer8.13–18.1713.15–22.2021.29–40.36
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.8912.0618.95safe3.95–9.839.38–14.7413.32–24.57safer3.12–10.668.64–15.4811.76–26.14
Blocked shots
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.475.128.60safe1.59–5.363.47–6.785.06–12.14safer1.05–5.902.98–7.274.03–13.17
Corners
22%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction4.116.1110.22safe1.90–6.334.11–8.116.01–14.44safer1.33–6.903.57–8.644.90–15.54
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction34.8464.74safe28.05–41.6357.96–71.53safer26.38–43.3056.29–73.20
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction328607935safe261–396540–673801–1069safer243–414523–691766–1104
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction62.3377.66safe58.30–66.3673.34–81.99safer57.00–67.6572.03–83.30
Fouls
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2611.2125.47safe11.42–17.098.27–14.1619.68–31.25safer10.66–17.857.52–14.9018.18–32.75
Offsides
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.683.29safe0.44–2.760.59–2.771.03–5.54safer0.14–3.070.30–3.060.44–6.13
Yellow cards
56%
19%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.491.644.13safe1.44–3.540.51–2.771.95–6.31safer1.18–3.810.22–3.061.40–6.87
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.090.23safe0.00–0.300.00–0.280.00–0.58safer0.00–0.450.00–0.410.00–0.86
GK saves
66%
13%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.142.556.70safe2.71–5.581.00–4.113.71–9.69safer2.32–5.970.57–4.532.89–10.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.82 0.00–1.78 0.00–2.04 | 2.19 1.34–3.05 1.11–3.28 | 3.01 1.19–4.83 0.71–5.31 | 19% 69% |
| Shots on target | 3.58 1.71–5.44 1.22–5.93 | 6.83 5.09–8.58 4.62–9.04 | 10.41 6.80–14.01 5.85–14.97 | 81% |
| Total shots | 13.15 9.23–17.08 8.13–18.17 | 17.67 14.11–21.24 13.15–22.20 | 30.83 23.34–38.31 21.29–40.36 | 18% 77% |
| Shots in box | 6.89 3.95–9.83 3.12–10.66 | 12.06 9.38–14.74 8.64–15.48 | 18.95 13.32–24.57 11.76–26.14 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 3.47 1.59–5.36 1.05–5.90 | 5.12 3.47–6.78 2.98–7.27 | 8.60 5.06–12.14 4.03–13.17 | 23% 65% |
| Corners | 4.11 1.90–6.33 1.33–6.90 | 6.11 4.11–8.11 3.57–8.64 | 10.22 6.01–14.44 4.90–15.54 | 22% 68% |
| Possession % | 34.84 28.05–41.63 26.38–43.30 | 64.74 57.96–71.53 56.29–73.20 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 328 261–396 243–414 | 607 540–673 523–691 | 935 801–1069 766–1104 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.33 58.30–66.36 57.00–67.65 | 77.66 73.34–81.99 72.03–83.30 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 14.26 11.42–17.09 10.66–17.85 | 11.21 8.27–14.16 7.52–14.90 | 25.47 19.68–31.25 18.18–32.75 | 69% 24% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.07 | 1.68 0.59–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 3.29 1.03–5.54 0.44–6.13 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 2.49 1.44–3.54 1.18–3.81 | 1.64 0.51–2.77 0.22–3.06 | 4.13 1.95–6.31 1.40–6.87 | 56% 19% 25% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 4.14 2.71–5.58 2.32–5.97 | 2.55 1.00–4.11 0.57–4.53 | 6.70 3.71–9.69 2.89–10.50 | 66% 13% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+