La Liga·Regular Season - 32·
La Liga·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
19%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.281.143.41safe1.31–3.240.28–1.991.59–5.24safer1.06–3.500.06–2.221.11–5.72
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.403.6710.07safe4.54–8.261.93–5.426.47–13.68safer4.05–8.751.47–5.885.51–14.63
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction18.3910.0028.39safe14.46–22.316.44–13.5620.90–35.87safer13.37–23.405.48–14.5218.85–37.93
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction11.587.1518.73safe8.64–14.534.47–9.8313.11–24.35safer7.81–15.353.73–10.5711.54–25.92
Blocked shots
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.842.447.28safe2.96–6.720.79–4.093.74–10.81safer2.41–7.260.29–4.582.71–11.85
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction7.003.6910.69safe4.79–9.221.69–5.696.47–14.90safer4.22–9.791.15–6.225.37–16.01
Possession %
74%
23%
homeawayprediction55.8344.08safe49.04–62.6237.30–50.87safer47.37–64.2935.62–52.54
Passes
84%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction543421964safe475–610355–488830–1098safer457–628337–505795–1133
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction67.4969.19safe63.46–71.5264.87–73.52safer62.17–72.8163.56–74.83
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5411.3522.88safe8.70–14.378.40–14.2917.10–28.67safer7.94–15.137.65–15.0415.60–30.17
Offsides
49%
19%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.572.084.65safe1.41–3.730.99–3.172.40–6.90safer1.11–4.030.70–3.461.81–7.49
Yellow cards
27%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.392.013.39safe0.34–2.440.88–3.131.21–5.57safer0.07–2.700.59–3.430.66–6.13
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
18%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.304.066.36safe0.86–3.742.50–5.613.37–9.35safer0.48–4.122.08–6.042.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.28 1.31–3.24 1.06–3.50 | 1.14 0.28–1.99 0.06–2.22 | 3.41 1.59–5.24 1.11–5.72 | 63% 19% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.40 4.54–8.26 4.05–8.75 | 3.67 1.93–5.42 1.47–5.88 | 10.07 6.47–13.68 5.51–14.63 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 18.39 14.46–22.31 13.37–23.40 | 10.00 6.44–13.56 5.48–14.52 | 28.39 20.90–35.87 18.85–37.93 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.58 8.64–14.53 7.81–15.35 | 7.15 4.47–9.83 3.73–10.57 | 18.73 13.11–24.35 11.54–25.92 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.84 2.96–6.72 2.41–7.26 | 2.44 0.79–4.09 0.29–4.58 | 7.28 3.74–10.81 2.71–11.85 | 76% 14% |
| Corners | 7.00 4.79–9.22 4.22–9.79 | 3.69 1.69–5.69 1.15–6.22 | 10.69 6.47–14.90 5.37–16.01 | 81% |
| Possession % | 55.83 49.04–62.62 47.37–64.29 | 44.08 37.30–50.87 35.62–52.54 | — | 74% 23% |
| Passes | 543 475–610 457–628 | 421 355–488 337–505 | 964 830–1098 795–1133 | 84% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.49 63.46–71.52 62.17–72.81 | 69.19 64.87–73.52 63.56–74.83 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 11.54 8.70–14.37 7.94–15.13 | 11.35 8.40–14.29 7.65–15.04 | 22.88 17.10–28.67 15.60–30.17 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 2.57 1.41–3.73 1.11–4.03 | 2.08 0.99–3.17 0.70–3.46 | 4.65 2.40–6.90 1.81–7.49 | 49% 19% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.34–2.44 0.07–2.70 | 2.01 0.88–3.13 0.59–3.43 | 3.39 1.21–5.57 0.66–6.13 | 27% 22% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.86–3.74 0.48–4.12 | 4.06 2.50–5.61 2.08–6.04 | 6.36 3.37–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 18% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+