La Liga·Regular Season - 33·
La Liga·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.020.942.96safe1.05–2.990.08–1.791.13–4.78safer0.80–3.240.00–2.020.66–5.26
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.983.259.23safe4.12–7.841.51–4.995.63–12.84safer3.63–8.331.04–5.464.67–13.79
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction18.219.4727.68safe14.29–22.145.91–13.0320.20–35.17safer13.20–23.234.95–13.9918.15–37.22
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction11.036.1017.14safe8.09–13.983.42–8.7811.51–22.76safer7.26–14.812.68–9.529.95–24.33
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.652.226.88safe2.77–6.540.57–3.883.34–10.41safer2.23–7.080.08–4.372.31–11.45
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.663.3710.03safe4.45–8.881.37–5.375.82–14.24safer3.88–9.450.83–5.904.71–15.35
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.3842.34safe50.59–64.1735.56–49.13safer48.92–65.8433.88–50.80
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction572404976safe505–639337–470842–1109safer487–657320–488806–1145
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction75.3872.92safe71.35–79.4168.60–77.25safer70.06–80.7067.29–78.56
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6511.2821.92safe7.81–13.488.33–14.2216.14–27.71safer7.05–14.247.59–14.9714.64–29.21
Offsides
22%
18%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.714.35safe0.48–2.801.61–3.802.10–6.60safer0.18–3.101.33–4.091.51–7.19
Yellow cards
34%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.813.38safe0.52–2.620.68–2.941.20–5.56safer0.25–2.880.39–3.230.64–6.11
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
18%
13%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.173.896.06safe0.73–3.602.34–5.453.07–9.05safer0.34–3.991.91–5.872.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.02 1.05–2.99 0.80–3.24 | 0.94 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 2.96 1.13–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 63% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.98 4.12–7.84 3.63–8.33 | 3.25 1.51–4.99 1.04–5.46 | 9.23 5.63–12.84 4.67–13.79 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 18.21 14.29–22.14 13.20–23.23 | 9.47 5.91–13.03 4.95–13.99 | 27.68 20.20–35.17 18.15–37.22 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.03 8.09–13.98 7.26–14.81 | 6.10 3.42–8.78 2.68–9.52 | 17.14 11.51–22.76 9.95–24.33 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 4.65 2.77–6.54 2.23–7.08 | 2.22 0.57–3.88 0.08–4.37 | 6.88 3.34–10.41 2.31–11.45 | 77% |
| Corners | 6.66 4.45–8.88 3.88–9.45 | 3.37 1.37–5.37 0.83–5.90 | 10.03 5.82–14.24 4.71–15.35 | 81% |
| Possession % | 57.38 50.59–64.17 48.92–65.84 | 42.34 35.56–49.13 33.88–50.80 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 572 505–639 487–657 | 404 337–470 320–488 | 976 842–1109 806–1145 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.38 71.35–79.41 70.06–80.70 | 72.92 68.60–77.25 67.29–78.56 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 10.65 7.81–13.48 7.05–14.24 | 11.28 8.33–14.22 7.59–14.97 | 21.92 16.14–27.71 14.64–29.21 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 2.71 1.61–3.80 1.33–4.09 | 4.35 2.10–6.60 1.51–7.19 | 22% 18% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.25–2.88 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.64–6.11 | 34% 23% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.17 0.73–3.60 0.34–3.99 | 3.89 2.34–5.45 1.91–5.87 | 6.06 3.07–9.05 2.26–9.87 | 18% 13% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.