Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
29%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.101.142.24safe0.13–2.070.28–1.990.42–4.06safer0.00–2.320.05–2.220.00–4.54
Shots on target
43%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.653.637.28safe1.79–5.521.89–5.373.68–10.89safer1.30–6.011.42–5.842.72–11.84
Total shots
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7011.9322.63safe6.78–14.628.37–15.4915.14–30.12safer5.68–15.727.41–16.4513.09–32.17
Shots in box
38%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction6.767.3814.14safe3.82–9.714.69–10.068.52–19.76safer2.99–10.543.96–10.796.95–21.33
Blocked shots
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.073.396.46safe1.19–4.951.74–5.042.92–9.99safer0.64–5.491.24–5.531.89–11.03
Corners
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.294.508.80safe2.08–6.512.50–6.504.58–13.01safer1.51–7.081.97–7.033.47–14.12
Possession %
57%
39%
homeawayprediction52.1248.18safe45.33–58.9141.39–54.96safer43.66–60.5839.72–56.63
Passes
70%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction437375813safe370–504309–442679–946safer352–522292–459643–982
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction65.2767.98safe61.24–69.3063.66–72.31safer59.95–70.6062.35–73.61
Fouls
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9114.9328.85safe11.08–16.7511.99–17.8823.06–34.63safer10.32–17.5111.24–18.6321.56–36.13
Offsides
48%
21%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.593.60safe0.85–3.170.49–2.681.35–5.85safer0.55–3.470.20–2.970.76–6.44
Yellow cards
41%
19%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.382.334.71safe1.33–3.431.20–3.462.53–6.89safer1.07–3.700.91–3.751.98–7.45
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.120.25safe0.00–0.290.00–0.300.00–0.59safer0.00–0.440.00–0.430.00–0.88
GK saves
44%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.812.645.45safe1.37–4.251.09–4.202.46–8.45safer0.99–4.630.66–4.621.65–9.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.10 0.13–2.07 0.00–2.32 | 1.14 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 2.24 0.42–4.06 0.00–4.54 | 35% 29% 37% |
| Shots on target | 3.65 1.79–5.52 1.30–6.01 | 3.63 1.89–5.37 1.42–5.84 | 7.28 3.68–10.89 2.72–11.84 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Total shots | 10.70 6.78–14.62 5.68–15.72 | 11.93 8.37–15.49 7.41–16.45 | 22.63 15.14–30.12 13.09–32.17 | 36% 56% |
| Shots in box | 6.76 3.82–9.71 2.99–10.54 | 7.38 4.69–10.06 3.96–10.79 | 14.14 8.52–19.76 6.95–21.33 | 38% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.07 1.19–4.95 0.64–5.49 | 3.39 1.74–5.04 1.24–5.53 | 6.46 2.92–9.99 1.89–11.03 | 37% 16% 47% |
| Corners | 4.29 2.08–6.51 1.51–7.08 | 4.50 2.50–6.50 1.97–7.03 | 8.80 4.58–13.01 3.47–14.12 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Possession % | 52.12 45.33–58.91 43.66–60.58 | 48.18 41.39–54.96 39.72–56.63 | — | 57% 39% |
| Passes | 437 370–504 352–522 | 375 309–442 292–459 | 813 679–946 643–982 | 70% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.27 61.24–69.30 59.95–70.60 | 67.98 63.66–72.31 62.35–73.61 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 13.91 11.08–16.75 10.32–17.51 | 14.93 11.99–17.88 11.24–18.63 | 28.85 23.06–34.63 21.56–36.13 | 39% 54% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.55–3.47 | 1.59 0.49–2.68 0.20–2.97 | 3.60 1.35–5.85 0.76–6.44 | 48% 21% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 2.38 1.33–3.43 1.07–3.70 | 2.33 1.20–3.46 0.91–3.75 | 4.71 2.53–6.89 1.98–7.45 | 41% 19% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.25 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.37–4.25 0.99–4.63 | 2.64 1.09–4.20 0.66–4.62 | 5.45 2.46–8.45 1.65–9.26 | 44% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+