Predicted match statistics
Goals
91%
homeawaytotalprediction3.690.614.30safe2.72–4.660.00–1.472.48–6.13safer2.47–4.910.00–1.702.00–6.61
Shots on target
98%
homeawaytotalprediction8.722.0210.74safe6.86–10.590.28–3.767.14–14.35safer6.37–11.080.00–4.236.18–15.30
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction23.575.2128.78safe19.65–27.501.65–8.7721.29–36.27safer18.56–28.590.69–9.7319.24–38.32
Shots in box
100%
homeawaytotalprediction15.343.4118.74safe12.39–18.280.73–6.0913.12–24.37safer11.56–19.110.00–6.8311.55–25.93
Blocked shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction6.461.067.52safe4.58–8.350.00–2.713.99–11.06safer4.04–8.890.00–3.202.95–12.09
Corners
98%
homeawaytotalprediction9.172.0411.21safe6.95–11.380.04–4.047.00–15.42safer6.38–11.960.00–4.575.89–16.53
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction78.0921.57safe71.30–84.8814.78–28.35safer69.63–86.5513.11–30.02
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction8142421056safe746–881176–309922–1190safer728–899158–326887–1225
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction85.2662.85safe81.23–89.2958.53–67.18safer79.94–90.5957.22–68.49
Fouls
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7311.6422.37safe7.89–13.578.69–14.5816.59–28.15safer7.14–14.327.94–15.3315.08–29.65
Offsides
20%
16%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.783.084.86safe0.62–2.941.98–4.172.60–7.11safer0.32–3.241.69–4.462.01–7.70
Yellow cards
16%
20%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction0.982.173.16safe0.00–2.031.04–3.300.98–5.33safer0.00–2.300.75–3.590.42–5.89
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
93%
homeawaytotalprediction1.395.657.04safe0.00–2.834.09–7.214.05–10.04safer0.00–3.223.67–7.633.24–10.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.69 2.72–4.66 2.47–4.91 | 0.61 0.00–1.47 0.00–1.70 | 4.30 2.48–6.13 2.00–6.61 | 91% |
| Shots on target | 8.72 6.86–10.59 6.37–11.08 | 2.02 0.28–3.76 0.00–4.23 | 10.74 7.14–14.35 6.18–15.30 | 98% |
| Total shots | 23.57 19.65–27.50 18.56–28.59 | 5.21 1.65–8.77 0.69–9.73 | 28.78 21.29–36.27 19.24–38.32 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 15.34 12.39–18.28 11.56–19.11 | 3.41 0.73–6.09 0.00–6.83 | 18.74 13.12–24.37 11.55–25.93 | 100% |
| Blocked shots | 6.46 4.58–8.35 4.04–8.89 | 1.06 0.00–2.71 0.00–3.20 | 7.52 3.99–11.06 2.95–12.09 | 97% |
| Corners | 9.17 6.95–11.38 6.38–11.96 | 2.04 0.04–4.04 0.00–4.57 | 11.21 7.00–15.42 5.89–16.53 | 98% |
| Possession % | 78.09 71.30–84.88 69.63–86.55 | 21.57 14.78–28.35 13.11–30.02 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 814 746–881 728–899 | 242 176–309 158–326 | 1056 922–1190 887–1225 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.26 81.23–89.29 79.94–90.59 | 62.85 58.53–67.18 57.22–68.49 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 10.73 7.89–13.57 7.14–14.32 | 11.64 8.69–14.58 7.94–15.33 | 22.37 16.59–28.15 15.08–29.65 | 38% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 3.08 1.98–4.17 1.69–4.46 | 4.86 2.60–7.11 2.01–7.70 | 20% 16% 64% |
| Yellow cards | 0.98 0.00–2.03 0.00–2.30 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 3.16 0.98–5.33 0.42–5.89 | 16% 20% 64% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.39 0.00–2.83 0.00–3.22 | 5.65 4.09–7.21 3.67–7.63 | 7.04 4.05–10.04 3.24–10.85 | 93% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+