La Liga·Regular Season - 34·
La Liga·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
17%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.451.013.46safe1.48–3.420.16–1.871.64–5.28safer1.23–3.670.00–2.091.16–5.76
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.113.2510.36safe5.25–8.971.51–4.996.76–13.97safer4.76–9.461.04–5.465.80–14.92
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.299.0528.34safe15.37–23.225.49–12.6120.85–35.83safer14.27–24.314.53–13.5718.80–37.88
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction13.036.1119.15safe10.09–15.973.43–8.8013.52–24.77safer9.26–16.802.70–9.5311.96–26.34
Blocked shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.782.157.93safe3.90–7.660.50–3.804.39–11.46safer3.35–8.210.00–4.293.36–12.50
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.503.7110.20safe4.28–8.711.71–5.715.99–14.42safer3.71–9.281.17–6.244.88–15.52
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.0638.61safe54.27–67.8531.83–45.40safer52.60–69.5230.16–47.07
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction616366982safe549–683299–432848–1115safer531–701282–449812–1151
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction76.6168.28safe72.58–80.6463.96–72.60safer71.29–81.9362.65–73.91
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6812.1021.78safe6.84–12.529.15–15.0416.00–27.56safer6.09–13.278.41–15.7914.49–29.06
Offsides
30%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.912.504.41safe0.75–3.071.40–3.592.15–6.66safer0.45–3.371.12–3.881.56–7.25
Yellow cards
20%
19%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.262.303.57safe0.21–2.311.17–3.431.39–5.74safer0.00–2.580.88–3.720.83–6.30
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.214.797.00safe0.77–3.653.24–6.354.01–10.00safer0.39–4.032.81–6.773.20–10.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.45 1.48–3.42 1.23–3.67 | 1.01 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.09 | 3.46 1.64–5.28 1.16–5.76 | 69% 17% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.11 5.25–8.97 4.76–9.46 | 3.25 1.51–4.99 1.04–5.46 | 10.36 6.76–13.97 5.80–14.92 | 85% |
| Total shots | 19.29 15.37–23.22 14.27–24.31 | 9.05 5.49–12.61 4.53–13.57 | 28.34 20.85–35.83 18.80–37.88 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 13.03 10.09–15.97 9.26–16.80 | 6.11 3.43–8.80 2.70–9.53 | 19.15 13.52–24.77 11.96–26.34 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 5.78 3.90–7.66 3.35–8.21 | 2.15 0.50–3.80 0.00–4.29 | 7.93 4.39–11.46 3.36–12.50 | 87% |
| Corners | 6.50 4.28–8.71 3.71–9.28 | 3.71 1.71–5.71 1.17–6.24 | 10.20 5.99–14.42 4.88–15.52 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 61.06 54.27–67.85 52.60–69.52 | 38.61 31.83–45.40 30.16–47.07 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 616 549–683 531–701 | 366 299–432 282–449 | 982 848–1115 812–1151 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.61 72.58–80.64 71.29–81.93 | 68.28 63.96–72.60 62.65–73.91 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 9.68 6.84–12.52 6.09–13.27 | 12.10 9.15–15.04 8.41–15.79 | 21.78 16.00–27.56 14.49–29.06 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.07 0.45–3.37 | 2.50 1.40–3.59 1.12–3.88 | 4.41 2.15–6.66 1.56–7.25 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.26 0.21–2.31 0.00–2.58 | 2.30 1.17–3.43 0.88–3.72 | 3.57 1.39–5.74 0.83–6.30 | 20% 19% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.21 0.77–3.65 0.39–4.03 | 4.79 3.24–6.35 2.81–6.77 | 7.00 4.01–10.00 3.20–10.81 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+