La Liga·Regular Season - 34·
La Liga·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
27%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.032.44safe0.45–2.380.17–1.880.62–4.27safer0.20–2.630.00–2.110.14–4.75
Shots on target
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.373.477.84safe2.50–6.231.73–5.214.23–11.44safer2.01–6.721.26–5.683.28–12.40
Total shots
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0311.7524.78safe9.10–16.958.19–15.3117.29–32.27safer8.01–18.057.23–16.2715.24–34.32
Shots in box
58%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction8.076.7514.82safe5.13–11.014.07–9.439.19–20.44safer4.30–11.843.33–10.177.63–22.01
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.593.176.76safe1.71–5.481.51–4.823.23–10.30safer1.17–6.021.02–5.312.19–11.33
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.203.999.18safe2.98–7.411.99–5.994.97–13.40safer2.41–7.981.46–6.523.86–14.50
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.3842.86safe50.59–64.1736.08–49.65safer48.92–65.8434.41–51.32
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction539371910safe471–606305–438776–1044safer453–624287–455741–1079
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction70.8369.52safe66.80–74.8665.20–73.85safer65.51–76.1563.89–75.16
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4012.1025.50safe10.56–16.249.16–15.0519.72–31.28safer9.81–16.998.41–15.7918.21–32.79
Offsides
54%
21%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.333.37safe0.88–3.200.24–2.421.12–5.62safer0.58–3.500.00–2.710.53–6.21
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.154.03safe0.83–2.931.02–3.281.85–6.21safer0.57–3.200.73–3.571.30–6.77
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
38%
18%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.512.705.21safe1.07–3.951.15–4.262.22–8.20safer0.69–4.330.72–4.681.41–9.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.38 0.20–2.63 | 1.03 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.44 0.62–4.27 0.14–4.75 | 46% 27% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.37 2.50–6.23 2.01–6.72 | 3.47 1.73–5.21 1.26–5.68 | 7.84 4.23–11.44 3.28–12.40 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Total shots | 13.03 9.10–16.95 8.01–18.05 | 11.75 8.19–15.31 7.23–16.27 | 24.78 17.29–32.27 15.24–34.32 | 56% 36% |
| Shots in box | 8.07 5.13–11.01 4.30–11.84 | 6.75 4.07–9.43 3.33–10.17 | 14.82 9.19–20.44 7.63–22.01 | 58% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.59 1.71–5.48 1.17–6.02 | 3.17 1.51–4.82 1.02–5.31 | 6.76 3.23–10.30 2.19–11.33 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.20 2.98–7.41 2.41–7.98 | 3.99 1.99–5.99 1.46–6.52 | 9.18 4.97–13.40 3.86–14.50 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 57.38 50.59–64.17 48.92–65.84 | 42.86 36.08–49.65 34.41–51.32 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 539 471–606 453–624 | 371 305–438 287–455 | 910 776–1044 741–1079 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.83 66.80–74.86 65.51–76.15 | 69.52 65.20–73.85 63.89–75.16 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 13.40 10.56–16.24 9.81–16.99 | 12.10 9.16–15.05 8.41–15.79 | 25.50 19.72–31.28 18.21–32.79 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 1.33 0.24–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.37 1.12–5.62 0.53–6.21 | 54% 21% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.57–3.20 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 4.03 1.85–6.21 1.30–6.77 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.07–3.95 0.69–4.33 | 2.70 1.15–4.26 0.72–4.68 | 5.21 2.22–8.20 1.41–9.02 | 38% 18% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.