La Liga·Regular Season - 34·
La Liga·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
23%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.263.14safe0.91–2.840.41–2.121.31–4.96safer0.65–3.090.18–2.350.83–5.44
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.333.618.94safe3.47–7.191.86–5.355.33–12.54safer2.98–7.681.40–5.814.38–13.50
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8710.2526.12safe11.94–19.796.69–13.8218.63–33.61safer10.85–20.885.73–14.7816.58–35.66
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction10.226.4416.66safe7.28–13.163.76–9.1211.04–22.29safer6.45–13.993.02–9.869.47–23.85
Blocked shots
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.142.346.49safe2.26–6.030.69–4.002.95–10.02safer1.72–6.570.20–4.491.92–11.06
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.413.8710.28safe4.19–8.621.87–5.876.06–14.49safer3.62–9.191.34–6.404.96–15.60
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction53.2745.85safe46.48–60.0639.07–52.64safer44.81–61.7337.39–54.31
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction526448973safe458–593381–514839–1107safer440–611364–532804–1143
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction72.5571.36safe68.52–76.5767.04–75.69safer67.22–77.8765.73–77.00
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9211.9823.90safe9.08–14.759.03–14.9218.11–29.68safer8.32–15.518.29–15.6716.61–31.18
Offsides
60%
18%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.531.524.05safe1.37–3.690.42–2.611.80–6.31safer1.07–3.990.14–2.901.21–6.89
Yellow cards
30%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.023.60safe0.52–2.620.89–3.151.42–5.77safer0.26–2.890.60–3.440.86–6.33
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.533.375.90safe1.10–3.971.81–4.922.91–8.89safer0.71–4.361.39–5.352.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.87 0.91–2.84 0.65–3.09 | 1.26 0.41–2.12 0.18–2.35 | 3.14 1.31–4.96 0.83–5.44 | 52% 23% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.33 3.47–7.19 2.98–7.68 | 3.61 1.86–5.35 1.40–5.81 | 8.94 5.33–12.54 4.38–13.50 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 15.87 11.94–19.79 10.85–20.88 | 10.25 6.69–13.82 5.73–14.78 | 26.12 18.63–33.61 16.58–35.66 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 10.22 7.28–13.16 6.45–13.99 | 6.44 3.76–9.12 3.02–9.86 | 16.66 11.04–22.29 9.47–23.85 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.14 2.26–6.03 1.72–6.57 | 2.34 0.69–4.00 0.20–4.49 | 6.49 2.95–10.02 1.92–11.06 | 69% 18% |
| Corners | 6.41 4.19–8.62 3.62–9.19 | 3.87 1.87–5.87 1.34–6.40 | 10.28 6.06–14.49 4.96–15.60 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 53.27 46.48–60.06 44.81–61.73 | 45.85 39.07–52.64 37.39–54.31 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 526 458–593 440–611 | 448 381–514 364–532 | 973 839–1107 804–1143 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.55 68.52–76.57 67.22–77.87 | 71.36 67.04–75.69 65.73–77.00 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 11.92 9.08–14.75 8.32–15.51 | 11.98 9.03–14.92 8.29–15.67 | 23.90 18.11–29.68 16.61–31.18 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.53 1.37–3.69 1.07–3.99 | 1.52 0.42–2.61 0.14–2.90 | 4.05 1.80–6.31 1.21–6.89 | 60% 18% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.60 1.42–5.77 0.86–6.33 | 30% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.10–3.97 0.71–4.36 | 3.37 1.81–4.92 1.39–5.35 | 5.90 2.91–8.89 2.10–9.71 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.