La Liga·Regular Season - 34·
La Liga·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.982.843.82safe0.01–1.951.99–3.702.00–5.65safer0.00–2.201.76–3.931.52–6.13
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction3.547.3710.92safe1.68–5.415.63–9.127.31–14.52safer1.19–5.905.16–9.586.36–15.48
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7517.5429.29safe7.83–15.6813.98–21.1021.80–36.78safer6.73–16.7713.02–22.0619.75–38.83
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.1512.8620.02safe4.21–10.0910.18–15.5414.39–25.64safer3.38–10.929.45–16.2812.83–27.21
Blocked shots
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.364.968.32safe1.48–5.243.31–6.614.79–11.86safer0.94–5.792.81–7.113.75–12.89
Corners
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.746.3510.09safe1.53–5.954.35–8.355.88–14.30safer0.95–6.533.82–8.884.77–15.41
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.1962.34safe31.40–44.9855.55–69.12safer29.73–46.6553.88–70.79
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction383583967safe316–451517–650833–1100safer298–469499–667797–1136
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction66.4877.97safe62.45–70.5173.65–82.30safer61.16–71.8072.34–83.61
Fouls
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6510.7223.37safe9.81–15.497.78–13.6717.59–29.16safer9.06–16.257.03–14.4116.09–30.66
Offsides
25%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.343.86safe0.36–2.681.24–3.431.61–6.11safer0.06–2.980.96–3.721.02–6.70
Yellow cards
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.663.53safe0.82–2.920.53–2.781.35–5.71safer0.56–3.190.24–3.080.79–6.26
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.412.446.85safe2.97–5.850.89–4.003.86–9.84safer2.59–6.230.46–4.423.05–10.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.98 0.01–1.95 0.00–2.20 | 2.84 1.99–3.70 1.76–3.93 | 3.82 2.00–5.65 1.52–6.13 | 14% 76% |
| Shots on target | 3.54 1.68–5.41 1.19–5.90 | 7.37 5.63–9.12 5.16–9.58 | 10.92 7.31–14.52 6.36–15.48 | 85% |
| Total shots | 11.75 7.83–15.68 6.73–16.77 | 17.54 13.98–21.10 13.02–22.06 | 29.29 21.80–36.78 19.75–38.83 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 7.15 4.21–10.09 3.38–10.92 | 12.86 10.18–15.54 9.45–16.28 | 20.02 14.39–25.64 12.83–27.21 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 3.36 1.48–5.24 0.94–5.79 | 4.96 3.31–6.61 2.81–7.11 | 8.32 4.79–11.86 3.75–12.89 | 23% 65% |
| Corners | 3.74 1.53–5.95 0.95–6.53 | 6.35 4.35–8.35 3.82–8.88 | 10.09 5.88–14.30 4.77–15.41 | 16% 75% |
| Possession % | 38.19 31.40–44.98 29.73–46.65 | 62.34 55.55–69.12 53.88–70.79 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 383 316–451 298–469 | 583 517–650 499–667 | 967 833–1100 797–1136 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.48 62.45–70.51 61.16–71.80 | 77.97 73.65–82.30 72.34–83.61 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 12.65 9.81–15.49 9.06–16.25 | 10.72 7.78–13.67 7.03–14.41 | 23.37 17.59–29.16 16.09–30.66 | 62% 31% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 2.34 1.24–3.43 0.96–3.72 | 3.86 1.61–6.11 1.02–6.70 | 25% 20% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.56–3.19 | 1.66 0.53–2.78 0.24–3.08 | 3.53 1.35–5.71 0.79–6.26 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 4.41 2.97–5.85 2.59–6.23 | 2.44 0.89–4.00 0.46–4.42 | 6.85 3.86–9.84 3.05–10.66 | 71% 17% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+