Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
27%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.082.48safe0.44–2.370.22–1.930.66–4.31safer0.19–2.630.00–2.160.18–4.79
Shots on target
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.363.788.14safe2.49–6.222.04–5.534.53–11.74safer2.00–6.711.58–5.993.58–12.70
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9411.1825.12safe10.01–17.867.62–14.7417.63–32.60safer8.92–18.956.66–15.7015.58–34.65
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction8.967.2416.20safe6.02–11.904.56–9.9210.57–21.82safer5.19–12.733.82–10.669.01–23.39
Blocked shots
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.372.976.34safe1.49–5.251.31–4.622.80–9.87safer0.95–5.800.82–5.111.77–10.91
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.144.459.58safe2.92–7.352.45–6.455.37–13.80safer2.35–7.921.91–6.984.26–14.90
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction49.3151.10safe42.52–56.1044.32–57.89safer40.85–57.7742.65–59.56
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction402426829safe335–469360–493695–962safer317–488342–510659–998
Pass accuracy %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction67.4470.96safe63.41–71.4766.64–75.29safer62.12–72.7665.33–76.60
Fouls
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9512.1526.10safe11.11–16.799.20–15.0920.31–31.88safer10.36–17.548.45–15.8418.81–33.38
Offsides
51%
19%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.451.854.30safe1.29–3.610.76–2.942.04–6.55safer0.99–3.910.47–3.231.45–7.14
Yellow cards
48%
20%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.351.914.26safe1.30–3.400.78–3.032.08–6.43safer1.03–3.670.49–3.331.52–6.99
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.673.155.83safe1.24–4.111.60–4.712.84–8.82safer0.85–4.501.17–5.142.02–9.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.41 0.44–2.37 0.19–2.63 | 1.08 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.48 0.66–4.31 0.18–4.79 | 45% 27% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.36 2.49–6.22 2.00–6.71 | 3.78 2.04–5.53 1.58–5.99 | 8.14 4.53–11.74 3.58–12.70 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 13.94 10.01–17.86 8.92–18.95 | 11.18 7.62–14.74 6.66–15.70 | 25.12 17.63–32.60 15.58–34.65 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 8.96 6.02–11.90 5.19–12.73 | 7.24 4.56–9.92 3.82–10.66 | 16.20 10.57–21.82 9.01–23.39 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.37 1.49–5.25 0.95–5.80 | 2.97 1.31–4.62 0.82–5.11 | 6.34 2.80–9.87 1.77–10.91 | 48% 16% 36% |
| Corners | 5.14 2.92–7.35 2.35–7.92 | 4.45 2.45–6.45 1.91–6.98 | 9.58 5.37–13.80 4.26–14.90 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 49.31 42.52–56.10 40.85–57.77 | 51.10 44.32–57.89 42.65–59.56 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 402 335–469 317–488 | 426 360–493 342–510 | 829 695–962 659–998 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.44 63.41–71.47 62.12–72.76 | 70.96 66.64–75.29 65.33–76.60 | — | 30% 65% |
| Fouls | 13.95 11.11–16.79 10.36–17.54 | 12.15 9.20–15.09 8.45–15.84 | 26.10 20.31–31.88 18.81–33.38 | 60% 33% |
| Offsides | 2.45 1.29–3.61 0.99–3.91 | 1.85 0.76–2.94 0.47–3.23 | 4.30 2.04–6.55 1.45–7.14 | 51% 19% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 2.35 1.30–3.40 1.03–3.67 | 1.91 0.78–3.03 0.49–3.33 | 4.26 2.08–6.43 1.52–6.99 | 48% 20% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.24–4.11 0.85–4.50 | 3.15 1.60–4.71 1.17–5.14 | 5.83 2.84–8.82 2.02–9.63 | 34% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.