La Liga·Regular Season - 35·
La Liga·Regular Season - 35·Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.400.833.23safe1.43–3.370.00–1.681.41–5.05safer1.18–3.620.00–1.910.93–5.53
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.793.039.83safe4.93–8.661.29–4.776.22–13.43safer4.44–9.150.82–5.245.27–14.39
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.659.3528.00safe14.72–22.575.79–12.9220.51–35.49safer13.63–23.664.83–13.8818.46–37.54
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction12.905.5218.42safe9.96–15.842.84–8.2012.80–24.05safer9.13–16.672.11–8.9411.23–25.61
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction4.852.106.95safe2.97–6.730.45–3.763.42–10.49safer2.43–7.280.00–4.252.38–11.52
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.033.4710.50safe4.82–9.241.47–5.476.29–14.71safer4.24–9.820.94–6.015.18–15.82
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.8840.75safe53.09–66.6733.96–47.53safer51.42–68.3432.29–49.20
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction572394966safe505–639328–461833–1100safer487–657310–478797–1136
Pass accuracy %
72%
23%
homeawayprediction75.3570.22safe71.32–79.3865.90–74.54safer70.03–80.6764.59–75.85
Fouls
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6712.0722.74safe7.83–13.519.12–15.0116.96–28.52safer7.08–14.268.37–15.7615.45–30.03
Offsides
27%
18%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.972.774.75safe0.81–3.131.68–3.872.49–7.00safer0.51–3.431.39–4.161.90–7.59
Yellow cards
24%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.342.073.41safe0.29–2.390.94–3.201.23–5.59safer0.02–2.650.65–3.490.67–6.15
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.264.236.49safe0.82–3.702.68–5.793.50–9.49safer0.44–4.082.25–6.222.69–10.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.40 1.43–3.37 1.18–3.62 | 0.83 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 3.23 1.41–5.05 0.93–5.53 | 72% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.79 4.93–8.66 4.44–9.15 | 3.03 1.29–4.77 0.82–5.24 | 9.83 6.22–13.43 5.27–14.39 | 85% |
| Total shots | 18.65 14.72–22.57 13.63–23.66 | 9.35 5.79–12.92 4.83–13.88 | 28.00 20.51–35.49 18.46–37.54 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.90 9.96–15.84 9.13–16.67 | 5.52 2.84–8.20 2.11–8.94 | 18.42 12.80–24.05 11.23–25.61 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 4.85 2.97–6.73 2.43–7.28 | 2.10 0.45–3.76 0.00–4.25 | 6.95 3.42–10.49 2.38–11.52 | 81% |
| Corners | 7.03 4.82–9.24 4.24–9.82 | 3.47 1.47–5.47 0.94–6.01 | 10.50 6.29–14.71 5.18–15.82 | 83% |
| Possession % | 59.88 53.09–66.67 51.42–68.34 | 40.75 33.96–47.53 32.29–49.20 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 572 505–639 487–657 | 394 328–461 310–478 | 966 833–1100 797–1136 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.35 71.32–79.38 70.03–80.67 | 70.22 65.90–74.54 64.59–75.85 | — | 72% 23% |
| Fouls | 10.67 7.83–13.51 7.08–14.26 | 12.07 9.12–15.01 8.37–15.76 | 22.74 16.96–28.52 15.45–30.03 | 34% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.51–3.43 | 2.77 1.68–3.87 1.39–4.16 | 4.75 2.49–7.00 1.90–7.59 | 27% 18% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 1.34 0.29–2.39 0.02–2.65 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.41 1.23–5.59 0.67–6.15 | 24% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.82–3.70 0.44–4.08 | 4.23 2.68–5.79 2.25–6.22 | 6.49 3.50–9.49 2.69–10.30 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.