La Liga·Regular Season - 35·
La Liga·Regular Season - 35·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
19%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.230.973.20safe1.26–3.190.11–1.821.37–5.02safer1.01–3.450.00–2.050.89–5.50
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.703.4610.16safe4.83–8.561.72–5.216.56–13.77safer4.35–9.051.26–5.675.60–14.72
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.979.8327.80safe14.04–21.896.27–13.3920.31–35.28safer12.95–22.985.31–14.3518.26–37.33
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.756.8918.64safe8.81–14.694.21–9.5713.02–24.26safer7.98–15.523.47–10.3111.45–25.83
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.282.487.76safe3.40–7.160.82–4.134.22–11.29safer2.86–7.710.33–4.623.19–12.33
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.343.529.86safe4.13–8.561.52–5.525.65–14.08safer3.56–9.130.99–6.054.54–15.18
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.1237.55safe55.33–68.9130.76–44.33safer53.66–70.5829.09–46.01
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction591342933safe524–658276–409800–1067safer506–677258–426764–1103
Pass accuracy %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction75.5367.41safe71.50–79.5663.09–71.74safer70.21–80.8561.78–73.05
Fouls
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8614.2625.12safe8.02–13.7011.32–17.2119.34–30.91safer7.27–14.4510.57–17.9617.84–32.41
Offsides
19%
17%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.644.03safe0.24–2.561.54–3.731.78–6.28safer0.00–2.861.25–4.021.19–6.87
Yellow cards
20%
19%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.342.383.72safe0.29–2.391.25–3.511.54–5.90safer0.02–2.650.96–3.800.99–6.46
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.310.00–0.52safer0.00–0.360.00–0.440.00–0.80
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.354.326.67safe0.91–3.782.76–5.883.68–9.66safer0.52–4.172.34–6.302.86–10.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.23 1.26–3.19 1.01–3.45 | 0.97 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 3.20 1.37–5.02 0.89–5.50 | 66% 19% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.70 4.83–8.56 4.35–9.05 | 3.46 1.72–5.21 1.26–5.67 | 10.16 6.56–13.77 5.60–14.72 | 81% |
| Total shots | 17.97 14.04–21.89 12.95–22.98 | 9.83 6.27–13.39 5.31–14.35 | 27.80 20.31–35.28 18.26–37.33 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.75 8.81–14.69 7.98–15.52 | 6.89 4.21–9.57 3.47–10.31 | 18.64 13.02–24.26 11.45–25.83 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 5.28 3.40–7.16 2.86–7.71 | 2.48 0.82–4.13 0.33–4.62 | 7.76 4.22–11.29 3.19–12.33 | 80% |
| Corners | 6.34 4.13–8.56 3.56–9.13 | 3.52 1.52–5.52 0.99–6.05 | 9.86 5.65–14.08 4.54–15.18 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 62.12 55.33–68.91 53.66–70.58 | 37.55 30.76–44.33 29.09–46.01 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 591 524–658 506–677 | 342 276–409 258–426 | 933 800–1067 764–1103 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.53 71.50–79.56 70.21–80.85 | 67.41 63.09–71.74 61.78–73.05 | — | 84% 13% |
| Fouls | 10.86 8.02–13.70 7.27–14.45 | 14.26 11.32–17.21 10.57–17.96 | 25.12 19.34–30.91 17.84–32.41 | 22% 72% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.56 0.00–2.86 | 2.64 1.54–3.73 1.25–4.02 | 4.03 1.78–6.28 1.19–6.87 | 19% 17% 64% |
| Yellow cards | 1.34 0.29–2.39 0.02–2.65 | 2.38 1.25–3.51 0.96–3.80 | 3.72 1.54–5.90 0.99–6.46 | 20% 19% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.91–3.78 0.52–4.17 | 4.32 2.76–5.88 2.34–6.30 | 6.67 3.68–9.66 2.86–10.47 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.