Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
27%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.232.47safe0.27–2.210.37–2.080.64–4.29safer0.02–2.460.15–2.310.16–4.77
Shots on target
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.283.998.27safe2.41–6.142.25–5.734.66–11.87safer1.93–6.631.78–6.203.71–12.83
Total shots
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9912.5726.56safe10.06–17.919.01–16.1419.07–34.05safer8.97–19.008.05–17.1017.02–36.10
Shots in box
53%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction8.437.6316.06safe5.49–11.374.95–10.3210.44–21.69safer4.66–12.204.22–11.058.87–23.25
Blocked shots
41%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.553.687.24safe1.67–5.442.03–5.343.70–10.77safer1.13–5.981.54–5.832.67–11.81
Corners
40%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.674.939.60safe2.46–6.892.93–6.935.39–13.82safer1.88–7.462.40–7.464.28–14.92
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction39.5259.25safe32.73–46.3152.46–66.03safer31.06–47.9850.79–67.70
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction343518861safe276–410451–584727–995safer258–429434–602692–1030
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction61.3274.24safe57.29–65.3569.92–78.56safer56.00–66.6468.61–79.87
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2613.7127.98safe11.43–17.1010.77–16.6622.20–33.76safer10.67–17.8610.02–17.4120.69–35.26
Offsides
68%
15%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction3.021.504.52safe1.86–4.180.41–2.602.27–6.78safer1.56–4.480.12–2.881.68–7.37
Yellow cards
48%
18%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.702.274.97safe1.65–3.751.15–3.402.79–7.15safer1.38–4.010.85–3.692.23–7.71
Red cards
75%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.160.31safe0.00–0.310.00–0.350.00–0.65safer0.00–0.450.00–0.480.00–0.94
GK saves
40%
18%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.682.775.45safe1.25–4.121.21–4.332.46–8.45safer0.86–4.510.79–4.751.65–9.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.21 0.02–2.46 | 1.23 0.37–2.08 0.15–2.31 | 2.47 0.64–4.29 0.16–4.77 | 37% 27% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.28 2.41–6.14 1.93–6.63 | 3.99 2.25–5.73 1.78–6.20 | 8.27 4.66–11.87 3.71–12.83 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 13.99 10.06–17.91 8.97–19.00 | 12.57 9.01–16.14 8.05–17.10 | 26.56 19.07–34.05 17.02–36.10 | 57% 35% |
| Shots in box | 8.43 5.49–11.37 4.66–12.20 | 7.63 4.95–10.32 4.22–11.05 | 16.06 10.44–21.69 8.87–23.25 | 53% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.55 1.67–5.44 1.13–5.98 | 3.68 2.03–5.34 1.54–5.83 | 7.24 3.70–10.77 2.67–11.81 | 41% 15% 44% |
| Corners | 4.67 2.46–6.89 1.88–7.46 | 4.93 2.93–6.93 2.40–7.46 | 9.60 5.39–13.82 4.28–14.92 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Possession % | 39.52 32.73–46.31 31.06–47.98 | 59.25 52.46–66.03 50.79–67.70 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 343 276–410 258–429 | 518 451–584 434–602 | 861 727–995 692–1030 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.32 57.29–65.35 56.00–66.64 | 74.24 69.92–78.56 68.61–79.87 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 14.26 11.43–17.10 10.67–17.86 | 13.71 10.77–16.66 10.02–17.41 | 27.98 22.20–33.76 20.69–35.26 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 3.02 1.86–4.18 1.56–4.48 | 1.50 0.41–2.60 0.12–2.88 | 4.52 2.27–6.78 1.68–7.37 | 68% 15% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 2.70 1.65–3.75 1.38–4.01 | 2.27 1.15–3.40 0.85–3.69 | 4.97 2.79–7.15 2.23–7.71 | 48% 18% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.31 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.94 | 75% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.68 1.25–4.12 0.86–4.51 | 2.77 1.21–4.33 0.79–4.75 | 5.45 2.46–8.45 1.65–9.26 | 40% 18% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.