La Liga·Regular Season - 35·
La Liga·Regular Season - 35·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.822.693.50safe0.00–1.791.83–3.541.68–5.33safer0.00–2.041.60–3.771.20–5.81
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction2.856.349.19safe0.98–4.714.60–8.085.58–12.79safer0.49–5.204.13–8.554.62–13.75
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction9.3616.7926.15safe5.43–13.2813.23–20.3618.66–33.64safer4.34–14.3712.27–21.3216.61–35.69
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction5.4311.8117.24safe2.49–8.379.13–14.4911.62–22.87safer1.66–9.208.40–15.2310.05–24.43
Blocked shots
13%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.635.187.81safe0.75–4.513.53–6.844.28–11.35safer0.20–5.063.04–7.333.24–12.39
Corners
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.575.769.32safe1.35–5.783.76–7.765.11–13.54safer0.78–6.353.22–8.294.00–14.65
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction41.4760.35safe34.68–48.2653.56–67.13safer33.01–49.9351.89–68.80
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction403573976safe336–470506–639842–1109safer318–488489–657806–1145
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction64.2379.00safe60.20–68.2674.68–83.32safer58.91–69.5573.37–84.63
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0510.8420.90safe7.21–12.897.90–13.7915.11–26.68safer6.46–13.647.15–14.5413.61–28.18
Offsides
25%
19%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.632.484.10safe0.47–2.791.38–3.571.85–6.36safer0.17–3.091.09–3.861.26–6.95
Yellow cards
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.613.30safe0.65–2.740.48–2.741.13–5.48safer0.38–3.010.19–3.030.57–6.04
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
68%
13%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.882.246.12safe2.44–5.320.68–3.803.13–9.11safer2.06–5.700.26–4.222.32–9.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.82 0.00–1.79 0.00–2.04 | 2.69 1.83–3.54 1.60–3.77 | 3.50 1.68–5.33 1.20–5.81 | 14% 77% |
| Shots on target | 2.85 0.98–4.71 0.49–5.20 | 6.34 4.60–8.08 4.13–8.55 | 9.19 5.58–12.79 4.62–13.75 | 84% |
| Total shots | 9.36 5.43–13.28 4.34–14.37 | 16.79 13.23–20.36 12.27–21.32 | 26.15 18.66–33.64 16.61–35.69 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 5.43 2.49–8.37 1.66–9.20 | 11.81 9.13–14.49 8.40–15.23 | 17.24 11.62–22.87 10.05–24.43 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 2.63 0.75–4.51 0.20–5.06 | 5.18 3.53–6.84 3.04–7.33 | 7.81 4.28–11.35 3.24–12.39 | 13% 77% |
| Corners | 3.57 1.35–5.78 0.78–6.35 | 5.76 3.76–7.76 3.22–8.29 | 9.32 5.11–13.54 4.00–14.65 | 19% 71% |
| Possession % | 41.47 34.68–48.26 33.01–49.93 | 60.35 53.56–67.13 51.89–68.80 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 403 336–470 318–488 | 573 506–639 489–657 | 976 842–1109 806–1145 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.23 60.20–68.26 58.91–69.55 | 79.00 74.68–83.32 73.37–84.63 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 10.05 7.21–12.89 6.46–13.64 | 10.84 7.90–13.79 7.15–14.54 | 20.90 15.11–26.68 13.61–28.18 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 2.48 1.38–3.57 1.09–3.86 | 4.10 1.85–6.36 1.26–6.95 | 25% 19% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.65–2.74 0.38–3.01 | 1.61 0.48–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 3.30 1.13–5.48 0.57–6.04 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.88 2.44–5.32 2.06–5.70 | 2.24 0.68–3.80 0.26–4.22 | 6.12 3.13–9.11 2.32–9.93 | 68% 13% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.