La Liga·Regular Season - 36·
La Liga·Regular Season - 36·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.000.952.94safe1.03–2.960.09–1.801.12–4.77safer0.78–3.210.00–2.030.64–5.25
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.093.399.48safe4.23–7.951.65–5.135.88–13.09safer3.74–8.441.18–5.604.92–14.04
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.7010.2427.94safe13.78–21.636.67–13.8020.45–35.43safer12.69–22.725.71–14.7618.40–37.48
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction11.976.1418.12safe9.03–14.923.46–8.8212.50–23.74safer8.20–15.752.73–9.5610.93–25.31
Blocked shots
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.092.637.72safe3.21–6.970.98–4.284.18–11.25safer2.66–7.510.49–4.783.15–12.29
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction7.193.7910.99safe4.98–9.411.79–5.796.77–15.20safer4.40–9.981.26–6.335.67–16.31
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.8040.33safe53.01–66.5933.55–47.12safer51.34–68.2631.88–48.79
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction566365932safe499–634299–432798–1065safer481–652281–449762–1101
Pass accuracy %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction75.4068.74safe71.38–79.4364.42–73.07safer70.08–80.7363.11–74.38
Fouls
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1711.5421.71safe7.33–13.008.60–14.4915.93–27.49safer6.57–13.767.85–15.2314.42–28.99
Offsides
55%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.363.49safe0.97–3.290.27–2.451.24–5.74safer0.67–3.590.00–2.740.65–6.33
Yellow cards
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.392.133.52safe0.34–2.441.00–3.261.35–5.70safer0.08–2.710.71–3.550.79–6.26
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
16%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.124.026.14safe0.68–3.552.46–5.573.14–9.13safer0.29–3.942.04–6.002.33–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.00 1.03–2.96 0.78–3.21 | 0.95 0.09–1.80 0.00–2.03 | 2.94 1.12–4.77 0.64–5.25 | 62% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.09 4.23–7.95 3.74–8.44 | 3.39 1.65–5.13 1.18–5.60 | 9.48 5.88–13.09 4.92–14.04 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 17.70 13.78–21.63 12.69–22.72 | 10.24 6.67–13.80 5.71–14.76 | 27.94 20.45–35.43 18.40–37.48 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.97 9.03–14.92 8.20–15.75 | 6.14 3.46–8.82 2.73–9.56 | 18.12 12.50–23.74 10.93–25.31 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 5.09 3.21–6.97 2.66–7.51 | 2.63 0.98–4.28 0.49–4.78 | 7.72 4.18–11.25 3.15–12.29 | 76% 14% |
| Corners | 7.19 4.98–9.41 4.40–9.98 | 3.79 1.79–5.79 1.26–6.33 | 10.99 6.77–15.20 5.67–16.31 | 81% |
| Possession % | 59.80 53.01–66.59 51.34–68.26 | 40.33 33.55–47.12 31.88–48.79 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 566 499–634 481–652 | 365 299–432 281–449 | 932 798–1065 762–1101 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.40 71.38–79.43 70.08–80.73 | 68.74 64.42–73.07 63.11–74.38 | — | 79% 18% |
| Fouls | 10.17 7.33–13.00 6.57–13.76 | 11.54 8.60–14.49 7.85–15.23 | 21.71 15.93–27.49 14.42–28.99 | 34% 57% |
| Offsides | 2.13 0.97–3.29 0.67–3.59 | 1.36 0.27–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.49 1.24–5.74 0.65–6.33 | 55% 21% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.34–2.44 0.08–2.71 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.52 1.35–5.70 0.79–6.26 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.12 0.68–3.55 0.29–3.94 | 4.02 2.46–5.57 2.04–6.00 | 6.14 3.14–9.13 2.33–9.94 | 16% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+