Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
25%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.082.71safe0.67–2.600.22–1.930.89–4.53safer0.41–2.850.00–2.160.41–5.01
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.193.678.86safe3.33–7.051.93–5.415.26–12.47safer2.84–7.541.46–5.884.30–13.42
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7910.9026.69safe11.86–19.717.34–14.4719.20–34.18safer10.77–20.806.38–15.4317.15–36.23
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction11.256.6417.89safe8.31–14.193.96–9.3212.27–23.51safer7.48–15.023.22–10.0610.70–25.08
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.622.867.48safe2.74–6.501.21–4.513.95–11.02safer2.20–7.050.72–5.012.91–12.05
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.693.919.60safe3.47–7.901.91–5.915.38–13.81safer2.90–8.471.38–6.444.28–14.92
Possession %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction51.2748.85safe44.48–58.0642.06–55.63safer42.81–59.7340.39–57.30
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction445399844safe377–512333–466710–978safer359–530315–483675–1013
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction67.9569.50safe63.92–71.9865.17–73.82safer62.63–73.2763.86–75.13
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2212.0624.28safe9.38–15.059.12–15.0118.50–30.06safer8.62–15.818.37–15.7616.99–31.57
Offsides
59%
20%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.301.353.65safe1.14–3.460.25–2.441.39–5.90safer0.84–3.760.00–2.730.80–6.49
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.123.91safe0.74–2.840.99–3.251.74–6.09safer0.48–3.110.70–3.541.18–6.65
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.463.405.86safe1.02–3.891.84–4.962.86–8.85safer0.63–4.281.42–5.382.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.67–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.08 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.71 0.89–4.53 0.41–5.01 | 50% 25% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.19 3.33–7.05 2.84–7.54 | 3.67 1.93–5.41 1.46–5.88 | 8.86 5.26–12.47 4.30–13.42 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.79 11.86–19.71 10.77–20.80 | 10.90 7.34–14.47 6.38–15.43 | 26.69 19.20–34.18 17.15–36.23 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 11.25 8.31–14.19 7.48–15.02 | 6.64 3.96–9.32 3.22–10.06 | 17.89 12.27–23.51 10.70–25.08 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.62 2.74–6.50 2.20–7.05 | 2.86 1.21–4.51 0.72–5.01 | 7.48 3.95–11.02 2.91–12.05 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 5.69 3.47–7.90 2.90–8.47 | 3.91 1.91–5.91 1.38–6.44 | 9.60 5.38–13.81 4.28–14.92 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 51.27 44.48–58.06 42.81–59.73 | 48.85 42.06–55.63 40.39–57.30 | — | 53% 42% |
| Passes | 445 377–512 359–530 | 399 333–466 315–483 | 844 710–978 675–1013 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.95 63.92–71.98 62.63–73.27 | 69.50 65.17–73.82 63.86–75.13 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 12.22 9.38–15.05 8.62–15.81 | 12.06 9.12–15.01 8.37–15.76 | 24.28 18.50–30.06 16.99–31.57 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.30 1.14–3.46 0.84–3.76 | 1.35 0.25–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 3.65 1.39–5.90 0.80–6.49 | 59% 20% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 3.91 1.74–6.09 1.18–6.65 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.46 1.02–3.89 0.63–4.28 | 3.40 1.84–4.96 1.42–5.38 | 5.86 2.86–8.85 2.05–9.66 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+